Omar Aziz leads the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial race as the frontrunner in recent polling, reflecting his established name recognition as a former governor and current senator, plus a broad coalition including PSD, MDB, and Republicanos with ties to the Lula administration. Late August surveys from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest showed him at 26-34% in first-round simulations, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (18-22%), Maria do Carmo (16-21%), and David Almeida (14-15%), with second-round matchups remaining tight within margins of error. Cidade's position draws from state machinery and União Brasil support following his May 2026 indirect election, while Carmo's backing from the PL appeals to bolsonarista voters. Lower probabilities for Almeida, Cabo Daciolo, Isael Munduruku, and Gilberto Vasconcelos align with their single-digit or negligible poll numbers. The first round is set for October 4, with free electoral airtime recently launched and ongoing campaign events emphasizing education, health access, and public security. Trader consensus incorporates these polling trends and coalition dynamics while noting the potential for shifts before voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOmar Aziz 60%
Roberto Cidade 28.4%
Professora Maria do Carmo 14%
David Almeida <1%
$14,387 ปริมาณ
$14,387 ปริมาณ
Omar Aziz
60%
Roberto Cidade
24%
Professora Maria do Carmo
14%
David Almeida
<1%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
<1%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
Omar Aziz 60%
Roberto Cidade 28.4%
Professora Maria do Carmo 14%
David Almeida <1%
$14,387 ปริมาณ
$14,387 ปริมาณ
Omar Aziz
60%
Roberto Cidade
24%
Professora Maria do Carmo
14%
David Almeida
<1%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
<1%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz leads the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial race as the frontrunner in recent polling, reflecting his established name recognition as a former governor and current senator, plus a broad coalition including PSD, MDB, and Republicanos with ties to the Lula administration. Late August surveys from institutes such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest showed him at 26-34% in first-round simulations, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (18-22%), Maria do Carmo (16-21%), and David Almeida (14-15%), with second-round matchups remaining tight within margins of error. Cidade's position draws from state machinery and União Brasil support following his May 2026 indirect election, while Carmo's backing from the PL appeals to bolsonarista voters. Lower probabilities for Almeida, Cabo Daciolo, Isael Munduruku, and Gilberto Vasconcelos align with their single-digit or negligible poll numbers. The first round is set for October 4, with free electoral airtime recently launched and ongoing campaign events emphasizing education, health access, and public security. Trader consensus incorporates these polling trends and coalition dynamics while noting the potential for shifts before voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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