Trader consensus assigns an 80% implied probability to a Bank of Israel rate cut in late May, driven by the central bank’s easing bias and its updated 2026 inflation forecast of 1.7–2.2%, which sits comfortably below the 1–3% target range and well under the current 4.00% policy rate. The March hold reflected a temporary pause amid energy-driven CPI pressures and geopolitical tensions, yet one-year market-implied inflation expectations have since stabilized near 1.5–2.0%. April CPI data, due before the May 28 meeting, and resilient non-inflationary growth remain the key near-term catalysts that could reinforce the path toward the 3.5% terminal rate projected by Governor Amir Yaron.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Israel Decision in May?
Decrease 80%
No Change 20%
Increase <1%
$41,041 ปริมาณ
$41,041 ปริมาณ
Decrease
80%
No Change
20%
Increase
1%
Decrease 80%
No Change 20%
Increase <1%
$41,041 ปริมาณ
$41,041 ปริมาณ
Decrease
80%
No Change
20%
Increase
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns an 80% implied probability to a Bank of Israel rate cut in late May, driven by the central bank’s easing bias and its updated 2026 inflation forecast of 1.7–2.2%, which sits comfortably below the 1–3% target range and well under the current 4.00% policy rate. The March hold reflected a temporary pause amid energy-driven CPI pressures and geopolitical tensions, yet one-year market-implied inflation expectations have since stabilized near 1.5–2.0%. April CPI data, due before the May 28 meeting, and resilient non-inflationary growth remain the key near-term catalysts that could reinforce the path toward the 3.5% terminal rate projected by Governor Amir Yaron.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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