The Bank of Israel’s established easing bias, reinforced by inflation forecasts of 1.7–2.2 percent for 2026 that sit comfortably inside the lower half of the 1–3 percent target range, is the primary driver behind the 78.5 percent market-implied probability of a rate cut at the May 25 decision. After two 25-basis-point reductions earlier in the year that brought the benchmark to 4.00 percent, the March hold reflected a temporary pause amid energy-price pressures and geopolitical tensions; subsequent stabilization, including recent ceasefire developments, has allowed one-year inflation expectations to settle near 1.5–2.0 percent. With April CPI data imminent and the Monetary Committee’s updated growth outlook likely to support gradual easing toward a 3.5 percent base case, traders price in a high likelihood that subdued price pressures and resilient activity will prompt resumption of the rate path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Israel Decision in May?
Bank of Israel Decision in May?
Decrease 79%
No Change 20%
Increase <1%
$41,293 ปริมาณ
$41,293 ปริมาณ
May 25, 2026
Decrease
79%
No Change
20%
Increase
1%
Decrease 79%
No Change 20%
Increase <1%
$41,293 ปริมาณ
$41,293 ปริมาณ
May 25, 2026
Decrease
$12,366 ปริมาณ
79%
No Change
$20,931 ปริมาณ
20%
Increase
$7,995 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Israel’s established easing bias, reinforced by inflation forecasts of 1.7–2.2 percent for 2026 that sit comfortably inside the lower half of the 1–3 percent target range, is the primary driver behind the 78.5 percent market-implied probability of a rate cut at the May 25 decision. After two 25-basis-point reductions earlier in the year that brought the benchmark to 4.00 percent, the March hold reflected a temporary pause amid energy-price pressures and geopolitical tensions; subsequent stabilization, including recent ceasefire developments, has allowed one-year inflation expectations to settle near 1.5–2.0 percent. With April CPI data imminent and the Monetary Committee’s updated growth outlook likely to support gradual easing toward a 3.5 percent base case, traders price in a high likelihood that subdued price pressures and resilient activity will prompt resumption of the rate path.
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,293วันสิ้นสุด
May 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Israel’s established easing bias, reinforced by inflation forecasts of 1.7–2.2 percent for 2026 that sit comfortably inside the lower half of the 1–3 percent target range, is the primary driver behind the 78.5 percent market-implied probability of a rate cut at the May 25 decision. After two 25-basis-point reductions earlier in the year that brought the benchmark to 4.00 percent, the March hold reflected a temporary pause amid energy-price pressures and geopolitical tensions; subsequent stabilization, including recent ceasefire developments, has allowed one-year inflation expectations to settle near 1.5–2.0 percent. With April CPI data imminent and the Monetary Committee’s updated growth outlook likely to support gradual easing toward a 3.5 percent base case, traders price in a high likelihood that subdued price pressures and resilient activity will prompt resumption of the rate path.
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,293วันสิ้นสุด
May 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Israel’s established easing bias, reinforced by inflation forecasts of 1.7–2.2 percent for 2026 that sit comfortably inside the lower half of the 1–3 percent target range, is the primary driver behind the 78.5 percent market-implied probability of a rate cut at the May 25 decision. After two 25-basis-point reductions earlier in the year that brought the benchmark to 4.00 percent, the March hold reflected a temporary pause amid energy-price pressures and geopolitical tensions; subsequent stabilization, including recent ceasefire developments, has allowed one-year inflation expectations to settle near 1.5–2.0 percent. With April CPI data imminent and the Monetary Committee’s updated growth outlook likely to support gradual easing toward a 3.5 percent base case, traders price in a high likelihood that subdued price pressures and resilient activity will prompt resumption of the rate path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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