The Bank of Japan’s April policy meeting, which held the short-term rate steady at 0.75 percent on a divided 6-3 vote, has set the stage for the June 15-16 decision, with market-implied odds heavily favoring a 25 basis point hike. Mid-May summary opinions underscored upside risks to inflation from Middle East energy shocks, leading the central bank to lift its fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent while trimming growth projections. A Reuters poll of economists released May 15 reinforced this outlook, with nearly two-thirds expecting the policy rate to reach 1.00 percent by end-June amid persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar. Traders will next monitor May inflation data and any further communications for confirmation of the tightening path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Japan Decision in June?
Bank of Japan Decision in June?
25 bps increase 79.8%
No change 16%
50+ bps increase 1.1%
Decrease rates <1%
$117,014 ปริมาณ
$117,014 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease rates
1%
No change
16%
25 bps increase
80%
50+ bps increase
1%
25 bps increase 79.8%
No change 16%
50+ bps increase 1.1%
Decrease rates <1%
$117,014 ปริมาณ
$117,014 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease rates
$34,155 ปริมาณ
1%
No change
$30,443 ปริมาณ
16%
25 bps increase
$28,039 ปริมาณ
80%
50+ bps increase
$24,377 ปริมาณ
1%
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Japan’s April policy meeting, which held the short-term rate steady at 0.75 percent on a divided 6-3 vote, has set the stage for the June 15-16 decision, with market-implied odds heavily favoring a 25 basis point hike. Mid-May summary opinions underscored upside risks to inflation from Middle East energy shocks, leading the central bank to lift its fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent while trimming growth projections. A Reuters poll of economists released May 15 reinforced this outlook, with nearly two-thirds expecting the policy rate to reach 1.00 percent by end-June amid persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar. Traders will next monitor May inflation data and any further communications for confirmation of the tightening path.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117,014วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Japan’s April policy meeting, which held the short-term rate steady at 0.75 percent on a divided 6-3 vote, has set the stage for the June 15-16 decision, with market-implied odds heavily favoring a 25 basis point hike. Mid-May summary opinions underscored upside risks to inflation from Middle East energy shocks, leading the central bank to lift its fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent while trimming growth projections. A Reuters poll of economists released May 15 reinforced this outlook, with nearly two-thirds expecting the policy rate to reach 1.00 percent by end-June amid persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar. Traders will next monitor May inflation data and any further communications for confirmation of the tightening path.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117,014วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Japan’s April policy meeting, which held the short-term rate steady at 0.75 percent on a divided 6-3 vote, has set the stage for the June 15-16 decision, with market-implied odds heavily favoring a 25 basis point hike. Mid-May summary opinions underscored upside risks to inflation from Middle East energy shocks, leading the central bank to lift its fiscal 2026 core inflation forecast to 2.8 percent while trimming growth projections. A Reuters poll of economists released May 15 reinforced this outlook, with nearly two-thirds expecting the policy rate to reach 1.00 percent by end-June amid persistent yen weakness near 157 against the dollar. Traders will next monitor May inflation data and any further communications for confirmation of the tightening path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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