Recent Bank of Russia communications following the April 24, 2026 decision to lower the key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5 percent have anchored trader expectations for another easing move at the July meeting. With annual inflation holding near 5.7 percent and underlying price pressures in the 4–5 percent annualized range, the central bank’s updated 2026 average key rate corridor of 14.0–14.5 percent continues to signal gradual monetary policy loosening as disinflation progresses toward the 4 percent target. Cooling domestic demand, lingering effects of prior tightening, and moderating inflation expectations reinforce the 74 percent market-implied probability of a decrease, while pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external conditions sustain the 21 percent odds of no change. The June 19 meeting and forthcoming inflation releases remain key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Russia decision in July?
Bank of Russia decision in July?
Decrease 74%
No Change 21%
Increase 3.7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 24, 2026
Decrease
74%
No Change
21%
Increase
4%
Decrease 74%
No Change 21%
Increase 3.7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 24, 2026
Decrease
$355 ปริมาณ
74%
No Change
$119 ปริมาณ
21%
Increase
$351 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent Bank of Russia communications following the April 24, 2026 decision to lower the key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5 percent have anchored trader expectations for another easing move at the July meeting. With annual inflation holding near 5.7 percent and underlying price pressures in the 4–5 percent annualized range, the central bank’s updated 2026 average key rate corridor of 14.0–14.5 percent continues to signal gradual monetary policy loosening as disinflation progresses toward the 4 percent target. Cooling domestic demand, lingering effects of prior tightening, and moderating inflation expectations reinforce the 74 percent market-implied probability of a decrease, while pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external conditions sustain the 21 percent odds of no change. The June 19 meeting and forthcoming inflation releases remain key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 24, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$824วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent Bank of Russia communications following the April 24, 2026 decision to lower the key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5 percent have anchored trader expectations for another easing move at the July meeting. With annual inflation holding near 5.7 percent and underlying price pressures in the 4–5 percent annualized range, the central bank’s updated 2026 average key rate corridor of 14.0–14.5 percent continues to signal gradual monetary policy loosening as disinflation progresses toward the 4 percent target. Cooling domestic demand, lingering effects of prior tightening, and moderating inflation expectations reinforce the 74 percent market-implied probability of a decrease, while pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external conditions sustain the 21 percent odds of no change. The June 19 meeting and forthcoming inflation releases remain key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$824วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Bank of Russia communications following the April 24, 2026 decision to lower the key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5 percent have anchored trader expectations for another easing move at the July meeting. With annual inflation holding near 5.7 percent and underlying price pressures in the 4–5 percent annualized range, the central bank’s updated 2026 average key rate corridor of 14.0–14.5 percent continues to signal gradual monetary policy loosening as disinflation progresses toward the 4 percent target. Cooling domestic demand, lingering effects of prior tightening, and moderating inflation expectations reinforce the 74 percent market-implied probability of a decrease, while pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external conditions sustain the 21 percent odds of no change. The June 19 meeting and forthcoming inflation releases remain key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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