Traders have converged on Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets over the May 16-18 window, reflected in the dominant 82 percent market-implied probability. This range aligns with his typical social media cadence on X during periods without major breaking news or personal milestones, where routine commentary on technology, politics, and platform updates drives steady engagement. Recent days have shown no extraordinary catalysts such as high-profile product launches or viral controversies to spike volume, keeping activity within established historical bands. Upcoming factors like any weekend industry announcements or user interactions could still shift totals, yet the narrow odds on outliers highlight trader confidence in his predictable posting rhythm absent sudden cultural flashpoints.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว40-64 83%
65-89 17%
90-114 1.1%
115-139 <1%
$899,169 ปริมาณ
$899,169 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
83%
65-89
17%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 83%
65-89 17%
90-114 1.1%
115-139 <1%
$899,169 ปริมาณ
$899,169 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
<40
$345,114 ปริมาณ
<1%
40-64
$81,679 ปริมาณ
83%
65-89
$84,841 ปริมาณ
17%
90-114
$109,500 ปริมาณ
1%
115-139
$91,768 ปริมาณ
<1%
140-164
$61,120 ปริมาณ
<1%
165-189
$53,265 ปริมาณ
<1%
190-214
$37,343 ปริมาณ
<1%
215-239
$15,853 ปริมาณ
<1%
240+
$18,696 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged on Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets over the May 16-18 window, reflected in the dominant 82 percent market-implied probability. This range aligns with his typical social media cadence on X during periods without major breaking news or personal milestones, where routine commentary on technology, politics, and platform updates drives steady engagement. Recent days have shown no extraordinary catalysts such as high-profile product launches or viral controversies to spike volume, keeping activity within established historical bands. Upcoming factors like any weekend industry announcements or user interactions could still shift totals, yet the narrow odds on outliers highlight trader confidence in his predictable posting rhythm absent sudden cultural flashpoints.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$899,169วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged on Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets over the May 16-18 window, reflected in the dominant 82 percent market-implied probability. This range aligns with his typical social media cadence on X during periods without major breaking news or personal milestones, where routine commentary on technology, politics, and platform updates drives steady engagement. Recent days have shown no extraordinary catalysts such as high-profile product launches or viral controversies to spike volume, keeping activity within established historical bands. Upcoming factors like any weekend industry announcements or user interactions could still shift totals, yet the narrow odds on outliers highlight trader confidence in his predictable posting rhythm absent sudden cultural flashpoints.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$899,169วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets over the May 16-18 window, reflected in the dominant 82 percent market-implied probability. This range aligns with his typical social media cadence on X during periods without major breaking news or personal milestones, where routine commentary on technology, politics, and platform updates drives steady engagement. Recent days have shown no extraordinary catalysts such as high-profile product launches or viral controversies to spike volume, keeping activity within established historical bands. Upcoming factors like any weekend industry announcements or user interactions could still shift totals, yet the narrow odds on outliers highlight trader confidence in his predictable posting rhythm absent sudden cultural flashpoints.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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