Florida's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on August 18, 2026, remains wide open following U.S. Rep. Neal Dunn's retirement, with a fragmented field of candidates including Keith Gross, Evan Power, Austin Rogers, Luke Murphy, and Audie Rowell. Recent Q2 fundraising reports highlight Gross's substantial self-funding advantage, while Power and Rogers demonstrate stronger grassroots and donor support. A July 14 candidate forum showed all contenders aligning closely with President Trump's agenda on border security and limited government, leaving few policy distinctions. This combination of an open seat, multiple viable contenders, and limited differentiation has kept implied probabilities tightly clustered among the leaders, with separation likely hinging on further fundraising disclosures, endorsements, or voter turnout patterns in the final weeks before the primary.