Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor's strong incumbency advantage and fundraising lead—$716,000 cash on hand as of late March—anchor trader consensus at 58.5% for the Democratic Party in Florida's 14th Congressional District House race, offsetting mid-decade redistricting signed May 4 that shifted boundaries southeast into Trump-won areas (55%-44%), prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report to rate it Lean Republican on May 12. A crowded Republican primary featuring Robert Rochford, Dan Weldon, and recent entrant Bea Valenti fragments GOP resources, while the map faces court challenges; recent Democratic flips in Tampa-area special elections signal local strength ahead of August 18 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
$19,674 ปริมาณ
$19,674 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
61%
Republican Party
40%
$19,674 ปริมาณ
$19,674 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,517 ปริมาณ
61%
Republican Party
$11,157 ปริมาณ
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor's strong incumbency advantage and fundraising lead—$716,000 cash on hand as of late March—anchor trader consensus at 58.5% for the Democratic Party in Florida's 14th Congressional District House race, offsetting mid-decade redistricting signed May 4 that shifted boundaries southeast into Trump-won areas (55%-44%), prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report to rate it Lean Republican on May 12. A crowded Republican primary featuring Robert Rochford, Dan Weldon, and recent entrant Bea Valenti fragments GOP resources, while the map faces court challenges; recent Democratic flips in Tampa-area special elections signal local strength ahead of August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,674วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor's strong incumbency advantage and fundraising lead—$716,000 cash on hand as of late March—anchor trader consensus at 58.5% for the Democratic Party in Florida's 14th Congressional District House race, offsetting mid-decade redistricting signed May 4 that shifted boundaries southeast into Trump-won areas (55%-44%), prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report to rate it Lean Republican on May 12. A crowded Republican primary featuring Robert Rochford, Dan Weldon, and recent entrant Bea Valenti fragments GOP resources, while the map faces court challenges; recent Democratic flips in Tampa-area special elections signal local strength ahead of August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,674วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor's strong incumbency advantage and fundraising lead—$716,000 cash on hand as of late March—anchor trader consensus at 58.5% for the Democratic Party in Florida's 14th Congressional District House race, offsetting mid-decade redistricting signed May 4 that shifted boundaries southeast into Trump-won areas (55%-44%), prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report to rate it Lean Republican on May 12. A crowded Republican primary featuring Robert Rochford, Dan Weldon, and recent entrant Bea Valenti fragments GOP resources, while the map faces court challenges; recent Democratic flips in Tampa-area special elections signal local strength ahead of August 18 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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