Trader sentiment in the Harvey Weinstein prison time market remains tightly contested, with No Prison Time at 28.5% edging 10-20 years at 28.1% and 20-30 years at 24.3%, reflecting deep uncertainty over the outcome of his third New York rape retrial on the 2013 Jessica Mann charge, where jury deliberations began May 13 amid defense attacks on her credibility and a prior 2025 hung jury. A conviction could yield 10-25 years in this case alone—per sentencing guidelines—elevating totals, while acquittal, mistrial, or no July 31 sentencing defaults to No Prison Time, regardless of his separate California 16-year term or pending Miriam Haley assault sentence. Weinstein's frail health at 74, including recent chest pains, and waning #MeToo-era scrutiny further cloud sentencing prospects if guilty, with verdict as the pivotal swing factor.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วเวลาติดคุกของฮาร์วีย์ไวน์สตีน?
เวลาติดคุกของฮาร์วีย์ไวน์สตีน?
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 28.4%
10-20 years 26.5%
20-30 ปี 24.2%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี 10.2%
$928,352 ปริมาณ
$928,352 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2025
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
28%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี
10%
5-10 years
5%
10-20 years
27%
20-30 ปี
24%
มากกว่า 30 ปี
7%
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 28.4%
10-20 years 26.5%
20-30 ปี 24.2%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี 10.2%
$928,352 ปริมาณ
$928,352 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2025
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
$330,941 ปริมาณ
28%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี
$122,724 ปริมาณ
10%
5-10 years
$72,658 ปริมาณ
5%
10-20 years
$148,773 ปริมาณ
27%
20-30 ปี
$187,259 ปริมาณ
24%
มากกว่า 30 ปี
$65,998 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in the Harvey Weinstein prison time market remains tightly contested, with No Prison Time at 28.5% edging 10-20 years at 28.1% and 20-30 years at 24.3%, reflecting deep uncertainty over the outcome of his third New York rape retrial on the 2013 Jessica Mann charge, where jury deliberations began May 13 amid defense attacks on her credibility and a prior 2025 hung jury. A conviction could yield 10-25 years in this case alone—per sentencing guidelines—elevating totals, while acquittal, mistrial, or no July 31 sentencing defaults to No Prison Time, regardless of his separate California 16-year term or pending Miriam Haley assault sentence. Weinstein's frail health at 74, including recent chest pains, and waning #MeToo-era scrutiny further cloud sentencing prospects if guilty, with verdict as the pivotal swing factor.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$928,352วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in the Harvey Weinstein prison time market remains tightly contested, with No Prison Time at 28.5% edging 10-20 years at 28.1% and 20-30 years at 24.3%, reflecting deep uncertainty over the outcome of his third New York rape retrial on the 2013 Jessica Mann charge, where jury deliberations began May 13 amid defense attacks on her credibility and a prior 2025 hung jury. A conviction could yield 10-25 years in this case alone—per sentencing guidelines—elevating totals, while acquittal, mistrial, or no July 31 sentencing defaults to No Prison Time, regardless of his separate California 16-year term or pending Miriam Haley assault sentence. Weinstein's frail health at 74, including recent chest pains, and waning #MeToo-era scrutiny further cloud sentencing prospects if guilty, with verdict as the pivotal swing factor.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$928,352วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment in the Harvey Weinstein prison time market remains tightly contested, with No Prison Time at 28.5% edging 10-20 years at 28.1% and 20-30 years at 24.3%, reflecting deep uncertainty over the outcome of his third New York rape retrial on the 2013 Jessica Mann charge, where jury deliberations began May 13 amid defense attacks on her credibility and a prior 2025 hung jury. A conviction could yield 10-25 years in this case alone—per sentencing guidelines—elevating totals, while acquittal, mistrial, or no July 31 sentencing defaults to No Prison Time, regardless of his separate California 16-year term or pending Miriam Haley assault sentence. Weinstein's frail health at 74, including recent chest pains, and waning #MeToo-era scrutiny further cloud sentencing prospects if guilty, with verdict as the pivotal swing factor.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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