Trump's second term has featured a marked rise in combative rhetoric, with analyses showing profanity and personal attacks in over 90% of recent speeches and social media posts, compared to roughly 40% in the first term. Daily prediction markets on whether he will insult someone on a given date through June 30 have consistently priced Yes above 90%, reflecting repeated public statements targeting journalists and political figures with terms like "stupid," "corrupt," or "low IQ." Recent examples include exchanges with CNN's Kaitlan Collins and NBC's Kristen Welker in early June. Scheduled press events, Truth Social activity, and ongoing policy debates remain the main near-term catalysts, though a quiet period without direct personal references could still shift shorter-term odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$594,713 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
June 18
91%
June 25
92%
June 27
91%
June 15
92%
June 16
92%
June 17
93%
June 19
93%
June 20
93%
June 21
92%
June 22
93%
June 23
93%
June 24
94%
June 26
93%
June 28
93%
June 29
92%
June 30
93%
$594,713 ปริมาณ
June 18
$3,312 ปริมาณ
91%
June 25
$347 ปริมาณ
92%
June 27
$360 ปริมาณ
91%
June 15
$9,358 ปริมาณ
92%
June 16
$1,302 ปริมาณ
92%
June 17
$1,584 ปริมาณ
93%
June 19
$418 ปริมาณ
93%
June 20
$278 ปริมาณ
93%
June 21
$2,816 ปริมาณ
92%
June 22
$390 ปริมาณ
93%
June 23
$390 ปริมาณ
93%
June 24
$243 ปริมาณ
94%
June 26
$220 ปริมาณ
93%
June 28
$859 ปริมาณ
93%
June 29
$1,445 ปริมาณ
92%
June 30
$237 ปริมาณ
93%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second term has featured a marked rise in combative rhetoric, with analyses showing profanity and personal attacks in over 90% of recent speeches and social media posts, compared to roughly 40% in the first term. Daily prediction markets on whether he will insult someone on a given date through June 30 have consistently priced Yes above 90%, reflecting repeated public statements targeting journalists and political figures with terms like "stupid," "corrupt," or "low IQ." Recent examples include exchanges with CNN's Kaitlan Collins and NBC's Kristen Welker in early June. Scheduled press events, Truth Social activity, and ongoing policy debates remain the main near-term catalysts, though a quiet period without direct personal references could still shift shorter-term odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$594,713วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second term has featured a marked rise in combative rhetoric, with analyses showing profanity and personal attacks in over 90% of recent speeches and social media posts, compared to roughly 40% in the first term. Daily prediction markets on whether he will insult someone on a given date through June 30 have consistently priced Yes above 90%, reflecting repeated public statements targeting journalists and political figures with terms like "stupid," "corrupt," or "low IQ." Recent examples include exchanges with CNN's Kaitlan Collins and NBC's Kristen Welker in early June. Scheduled press events, Truth Social activity, and ongoing policy debates remain the main near-term catalysts, though a quiet period without direct personal references could still shift shorter-term odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$594,713วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's second term has featured a marked rise in combative rhetoric, with analyses showing profanity and personal attacks in over 90% of recent speeches and social media posts, compared to roughly 40% in the first term. Daily prediction markets on whether he will insult someone on a given date through June 30 have consistently priced Yes above 90%, reflecting repeated public statements targeting journalists and political figures with terms like "stupid," "corrupt," or "low IQ." Recent examples include exchanges with CNN's Kaitlan Collins and NBC's Kristen Welker in early June. Scheduled press events, Truth Social activity, and ongoing policy debates remain the main near-term catalysts, though a quiet period without direct personal references could still shift shorter-term odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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