The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has sharply reinforced trader sentiment favoring No Prison Time. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial, leaving that count unresolved while Weinstein, 74, remains incarcerated under his separate 16-year California rape conviction and awaits sentencing on a prior New York count. Appeals on the California verdict and health concerns continue to shape perceptions of limited additional time, aligning with the market’s 86.2% implied probability on no further prison. Upcoming decisions on retrial or sentencing hearings stand as the next clear catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วเวลาติดคุกของฮาร์วีย์ไวน์สตีน?
เวลาติดคุกของฮาร์วีย์ไวน์สตีน?
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 86.3%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี 7.0%
10-20 years 3.4%
20-30 ปี 2.5%
$987,897 ปริมาณ
$987,897 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2025
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
86%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี
7%
5-10 years
<1%
10-20 years
3%
20-30 ปี
3%
มากกว่า 30 ปี
2%
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 86.3%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี 7.0%
10-20 years 3.4%
20-30 ปี 2.5%
$987,897 ปริมาณ
$987,897 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2025
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
$347,079 ปริมาณ
86%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี
$131,255 ปริมาณ
7%
5-10 years
$79,622 ปริมาณ
<1%
10-20 years
$158,030 ปริมาณ
3%
20-30 ปี
$199,445 ปริมาณ
3%
มากกว่า 30 ปี
$72,465 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has sharply reinforced trader sentiment favoring No Prison Time. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial, leaving that count unresolved while Weinstein, 74, remains incarcerated under his separate 16-year California rape conviction and awaits sentencing on a prior New York count. Appeals on the California verdict and health concerns continue to shape perceptions of limited additional time, aligning with the market’s 86.2% implied probability on no further prison. Upcoming decisions on retrial or sentencing hearings stand as the next clear catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$987,897วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has sharply reinforced trader sentiment favoring No Prison Time. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial, leaving that count unresolved while Weinstein, 74, remains incarcerated under his separate 16-year California rape conviction and awaits sentencing on a prior New York count. Appeals on the California verdict and health concerns continue to shape perceptions of limited additional time, aligning with the market’s 86.2% implied probability on no further prison. Upcoming decisions on retrial or sentencing hearings stand as the next clear catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$987,897วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s third New York rape retrial, declared May 15 after jurors deadlocked on the Jessica Mann charge, has sharply reinforced trader sentiment favoring No Prison Time. Prosecutors now have 30 days to decide on a potential fourth trial, leaving that count unresolved while Weinstein, 74, remains incarcerated under his separate 16-year California rape conviction and awaits sentencing on a prior New York count. Appeals on the California verdict and health concerns continue to shape perceptions of limited additional time, aligning with the market’s 86.2% implied probability on no further prison. Upcoming decisions on retrial or sentencing hearings stand as the next clear catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย