Obsession’s commanding 92% market-implied probability stems from its exceptional domestic legs and sustained box-office momentum as a May 15 Focus Features horror release. The low-budget ($1M) Curry Barker film opened at $17.2M but posted a rare 39% second-weekend increase to $23.9M, then held the top spot repeatedly through Memorial Day while crossing $175M domestic with a roughly 6.4x multiplier—figures far ahead of fellow May titles like The Devil Wears Prada 2 (May 1) and The Mandalorian and Grogu (May 22). Strong critical and audience reception, viral word-of-mouth, and minimal competition in its genre lane have kept daily grosses elevated into mid-June. An upset by June 30 would require one of the later wide releases to suddenly accelerate dramatically or Obsession to collapse faster than historical precedent suggests, both low-probability scenarios given current trajectories.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest Domestically Grossing May Film on June 30?
Highest Domestically Grossing May Film on June 30?
Obsession 92.3%
The Devil Wears Prada 2 <1%
The Mandalorian and Grogu <1%
Mortal Kombat II <1%
$254,814 ปริมาณ
$254,814 ปริมาณ
Obsession
92%
The Devil Wears Prada 2
<1%
The Mandalorian and Grogu
<1%
Mortal Kombat II
<1%
Backrooms
<1%
Obsession 92.3%
The Devil Wears Prada 2 <1%
The Mandalorian and Grogu <1%
Mortal Kombat II <1%
$254,814 ปริมาณ
$254,814 ปริมาณ
Obsession
92%
The Devil Wears Prada 2
<1%
The Mandalorian and Grogu
<1%
Mortal Kombat II
<1%
Backrooms
<1%
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 26, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Obsession’s commanding 92% market-implied probability stems from its exceptional domestic legs and sustained box-office momentum as a May 15 Focus Features horror release. The low-budget ($1M) Curry Barker film opened at $17.2M but posted a rare 39% second-weekend increase to $23.9M, then held the top spot repeatedly through Memorial Day while crossing $175M domestic with a roughly 6.4x multiplier—figures far ahead of fellow May titles like The Devil Wears Prada 2 (May 1) and The Mandalorian and Grogu (May 22). Strong critical and audience reception, viral word-of-mouth, and minimal competition in its genre lane have kept daily grosses elevated into mid-June. An upset by June 30 would require one of the later wide releases to suddenly accelerate dramatically or Obsession to collapse faster than historical precedent suggests, both low-probability scenarios given current trajectories.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย