**Trader sentiment for Beijing's June 18 maximum temperature centers on official guidance from China's National Meteorological Centre projecting a 31°C high amid thunderstorms, with ensemble models showing modest spread around this value.** Recent surface observations and short-range forecasts indicate daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions before convective activity develops, potentially limiting peak readings near 31–32°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on precise timing of storm initiation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June climatology for the capital shows average highs near 31°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Updated CMA guidance or refined numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on June 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 18?
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 21%
33°C 9.4%
ใหม่
$41,187 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$41,187 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
21%
31°C
31%
32°C
33%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 21%
33°C 9.4%
ใหม่
$41,187 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$41,187 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
$4,450 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,782 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$2,760 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$2,688 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$2,868 ปริมาณ
21%
31°C
$2,811 ปริมาณ
31%
32°C
$8,404 ปริมาณ
33%
33°C
$5,902 ปริมาณ
9%
34°C
$3,835 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$2,452 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$3,243 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing's June 18 maximum temperature centers on official guidance from China's National Meteorological Centre projecting a 31°C high amid thunderstorms, with ensemble models showing modest spread around this value.** Recent surface observations and short-range forecasts indicate daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions before convective activity develops, potentially limiting peak readings near 31–32°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on precise timing of storm initiation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June climatology for the capital shows average highs near 31°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Updated CMA guidance or refined numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,187วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing's June 18 maximum temperature centers on official guidance from China's National Meteorological Centre projecting a 31°C high amid thunderstorms, with ensemble models showing modest spread around this value.** Recent surface observations and short-range forecasts indicate daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions before convective activity develops, potentially limiting peak readings near 31–32°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on precise timing of storm initiation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June climatology for the capital shows average highs near 31°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Updated CMA guidance or refined numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,187วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Beijing's June 18 maximum temperature centers on official guidance from China's National Meteorological Centre projecting a 31°C high amid thunderstorms, with ensemble models showing modest spread around this value.** Recent surface observations and short-range forecasts indicate daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions before convective activity develops, potentially limiting peak readings near 31–32°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on precise timing of storm initiation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June climatology for the capital shows average highs near 31°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Updated CMA guidance or refined numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย