Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum of 25°C in London on June 17, driving the 33% market-implied probability for that outcome. A building high-pressure ridge and modest southerly flow support afternoon warming, yet variable cloud cover and potential showers introduce uncertainty that spreads implied odds across 24–26°C. These near-term forecasts align with post-heatwave normalization after May, where typical June maxima hover near 20–22°C but recent model runs have trended slightly warmer. Traders weigh resolution criteria tied to official observations at sites such as Heathrow, with updates from the next model cycles likely to refine the narrow range between leading probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on June 17?
Highest temperature in London on June 17?
25°C 36%
26°C 26%
24°C 21%
27°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 17, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
21%
25°C
33%
26°C
26%
27°C
10%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 36%
26°C 26%
24°C 21%
27°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 17, 2026
22°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$46 ปริมาณ
7%
24°C
$212 ปริมาณ
21%
25°C
$198 ปริมาณ
33%
26°C
$57 ปริมาณ
26%
27°C
$3 ปริมาณ
10%
28°C
$80 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$101 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$30 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum of 25°C in London on June 17, driving the 33% market-implied probability for that outcome. A building high-pressure ridge and modest southerly flow support afternoon warming, yet variable cloud cover and potential showers introduce uncertainty that spreads implied odds across 24–26°C. These near-term forecasts align with post-heatwave normalization after May, where typical June maxima hover near 20–22°C but recent model runs have trended slightly warmer. Traders weigh resolution criteria tied to official observations at sites such as Heathrow, with updates from the next model cycles likely to refine the narrow range between leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$561วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum of 25°C in London on June 17, driving the 33% market-implied probability for that outcome. A building high-pressure ridge and modest southerly flow support afternoon warming, yet variable cloud cover and potential showers introduce uncertainty that spreads implied odds across 24–26°C. These near-term forecasts align with post-heatwave normalization after May, where typical June maxima hover near 20–22°C but recent model runs have trended slightly warmer. Traders weigh resolution criteria tied to official observations at sites such as Heathrow, with updates from the next model cycles likely to refine the narrow range between leading probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$561วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum of 25°C in London on June 17, driving the 33% market-implied probability for that outcome. A building high-pressure ridge and modest southerly flow support afternoon warming, yet variable cloud cover and potential showers introduce uncertainty that spreads implied odds across 24–26°C. These near-term forecasts align with post-heatwave normalization after May, where typical June maxima hover near 20–22°C but recent model runs have trended slightly warmer. Traders weigh resolution criteria tied to official observations at sites such as Heathrow, with updates from the next model cycles likely to refine the narrow range between leading probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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