Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Beijing’s June 17 maximum will most likely reach 31–32 °C, with limited afternoon convection and moderate southwesterly flow keeping the urban boundary layer warm. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 30 °C, yet current 500 hPa ridging and below-normal soil moisture favor slightly elevated values; small differences in timing of any sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover explain the tight market spread between the leading 32 °C and 31 °C bins. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on June 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 17?
32°C 34%
31°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 8.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 17, 2026
28°C or below
7%
29°C
8%
30°C
16%
31°C
28%
32°C
34%
33°C
8%
34°C
6%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 8.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 17, 2026
28°C or below
$11 ปริมาณ
7%
29°C
$22 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C
$20 ปริมาณ
16%
31°C
$31 ปริมาณ
28%
32°C
$32 ปริมาณ
34%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
36°C
$45 ปริมาณ
2%
37°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Beijing’s June 17 maximum will most likely reach 31–32 °C, with limited afternoon convection and moderate southwesterly flow keeping the urban boundary layer warm. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 30 °C, yet current 500 hPa ridging and below-normal soil moisture favor slightly elevated values; small differences in timing of any sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover explain the tight market spread between the leading 32 °C and 31 °C bins. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$150วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Beijing’s June 17 maximum will most likely reach 31–32 °C, with limited afternoon convection and moderate southwesterly flow keeping the urban boundary layer warm. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 30 °C, yet current 500 hPa ridging and below-normal soil moisture favor slightly elevated values; small differences in timing of any sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover explain the tight market spread between the leading 32 °C and 31 °C bins. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$150วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Beijing’s June 17 maximum will most likely reach 31–32 °C, with limited afternoon convection and moderate southwesterly flow keeping the urban boundary layer warm. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 30 °C, yet current 500 hPa ridging and below-normal soil moisture favor slightly elevated values; small differences in timing of any sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover explain the tight market spread between the leading 32 °C and 31 °C bins. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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