**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other models point to a highest temperature on June 15 of 28–30°C under an active southwest monsoon and trough of low pressure.** This pattern is driving unsettled conditions with showers or thunderstorms expected, which typically limit daytime heating and keep maximums near or slightly below seasonal averages. Current model consensus and official outlooks show daily highs in the 26–30°C range, with rain reducing solar heating and preventing stronger warming. Historical June climatology in Hong Kong features average highs near 30–31°C, but the imminent wet weather introduces downward pressure on temperatures. Traders have concentrated probability on 28–30°C because these align directly with the latest short-range guidance, while higher outcomes like 31°C+ remain low-probability given the suppressed instability. Updated forecasts and any changes in monsoon strength will be the key near-term drivers for this market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
29°C 43%
28°C 28%
30°C 23%
31°C 5.9%
ใหม่
$36,898 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$36,898 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
28%
29°C
43%
30°C
23%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 28%
30°C 23%
31°C 5.9%
ใหม่
$36,898 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$36,898 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
23°C or below
$934 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$298 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$2,040 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$2,926 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$17,576 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$3,571 ปริมาณ
28%
29°C
$3,647 ปริมาณ
43%
30°C
$3,018 ปริมาณ
23%
31°C
$2,541 ปริมาณ
6%
32°C
$1,426 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C or higher
$1,130 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other models point to a highest temperature on June 15 of 28–30°C under an active southwest monsoon and trough of low pressure.** This pattern is driving unsettled conditions with showers or thunderstorms expected, which typically limit daytime heating and keep maximums near or slightly below seasonal averages.
Current model consensus and official outlooks show daily highs in the 26–30°C range, with rain reducing solar heating and preventing stronger warming. Historical June climatology in Hong Kong features average highs near 30–31°C, but the imminent wet weather introduces downward pressure on temperatures. Traders have concentrated probability on 28–30°C because these align directly with the latest short-range guidance, while higher outcomes like 31°C+ remain low-probability given the suppressed instability. Updated forecasts and any changes in monsoon strength will be the key near-term drivers for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,898วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other models point to a highest temperature on June 15 of 28–30°C under an active southwest monsoon and trough of low pressure.** This pattern is driving unsettled conditions with showers or thunderstorms expected, which typically limit daytime heating and keep maximums near or slightly below seasonal averages.
Current model consensus and official outlooks show daily highs in the 26–30°C range, with rain reducing solar heating and preventing stronger warming. Historical June climatology in Hong Kong features average highs near 30–31°C, but the imminent wet weather introduces downward pressure on temperatures. Traders have concentrated probability on 28–30°C because these align directly with the latest short-range guidance, while higher outcomes like 31°C+ remain low-probability given the suppressed instability. Updated forecasts and any changes in monsoon strength will be the key near-term drivers for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,898วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other models point to a highest temperature on June 15 of 28–30°C under an active southwest monsoon and trough of low pressure.** This pattern is driving unsettled conditions with showers or thunderstorms expected, which typically limit daytime heating and keep maximums near or slightly below seasonal averages. Current model consensus and official outlooks show daily highs in the 26–30°C range, with rain reducing solar heating and preventing stronger warming. Historical June climatology in Hong Kong features average highs near 30–31°C, but the imminent wet weather introduces downward pressure on temperatures. Traders have concentrated probability on 28–30°C because these align directly with the latest short-range guidance, while higher outcomes like 31°C+ remain low-probability given the suppressed instability. Updated forecasts and any changes in monsoon strength will be the key near-term drivers for this market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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