**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C high for Mexico City on June 14, 2026, with 27°C holding a 68.5% implied probability and 26°C at 24.5%.** Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and June’s transitional weather—marked by increasing moisture from the start of the rainy season—normally keep daily maxima in the mid-20s Celsius. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models show afternoon highs near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which reduce insolation and limit warming. Historical June averages hover around 24–25°C, with occasional clearer periods allowing brief spikes to 27°C before convective clouds build. Recent model runs and early-month observations indicate slightly above-average dryness or delayed thunderstorm timing could push the peak to 27°C, supporting the market’s tilt toward that outcome. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the Tacubaya or similar reference station; any late-day clearing or reduced rainfall would favor the higher bin, while earlier or heavier precipitation would reinforce 26°C or below.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 14?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 14?
27°C 75.0%
26°C 18%
28°C 8.4%
29°C or higher <1%
$41,265 ปริมาณ
$41,265 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
18%
27°C
68%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
1%
27°C 75.0%
26°C 18%
28°C 8.4%
29°C or higher <1%
$41,265 ปริมาณ
$41,265 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
19°C or below
$239 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$421 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,290 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$2,032 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$2,120 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$28,891 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$1,749 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$1,560 ปริมาณ
18%
27°C
$1,767 ปริมาณ
68%
28°C
$1,680 ปริมาณ
8%
29°C or higher
$552 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C high for Mexico City on June 14, 2026, with 27°C holding a 68.5% implied probability and 26°C at 24.5%.**
Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and June’s transitional weather—marked by increasing moisture from the start of the rainy season—normally keep daily maxima in the mid-20s Celsius. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models show afternoon highs near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which reduce insolation and limit warming. Historical June averages hover around 24–25°C, with occasional clearer periods allowing brief spikes to 27°C before convective clouds build.
Recent model runs and early-month observations indicate slightly above-average dryness or delayed thunderstorm timing could push the peak to 27°C, supporting the market’s tilt toward that outcome. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the Tacubaya or similar reference station; any late-day clearing or reduced rainfall would favor the higher bin, while earlier or heavier precipitation would reinforce 26°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,265วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C high for Mexico City on June 14, 2026, with 27°C holding a 68.5% implied probability and 26°C at 24.5%.**
Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and June’s transitional weather—marked by increasing moisture from the start of the rainy season—normally keep daily maxima in the mid-20s Celsius. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models show afternoon highs near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which reduce insolation and limit warming. Historical June averages hover around 24–25°C, with occasional clearer periods allowing brief spikes to 27°C before convective clouds build.
Recent model runs and early-month observations indicate slightly above-average dryness or delayed thunderstorm timing could push the peak to 27°C, supporting the market’s tilt toward that outcome. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the Tacubaya or similar reference station; any late-day clearing or reduced rainfall would favor the higher bin, while earlier or heavier precipitation would reinforce 26°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,265วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C high for Mexico City on June 14, 2026, with 27°C holding a 68.5% implied probability and 26°C at 24.5%.** Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and June’s transitional weather—marked by increasing moisture from the start of the rainy season—normally keep daily maxima in the mid-20s Celsius. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models show afternoon highs near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, which reduce insolation and limit warming. Historical June averages hover around 24–25°C, with occasional clearer periods allowing brief spikes to 27°C before convective clouds build. Recent model runs and early-month observations indicate slightly above-average dryness or delayed thunderstorm timing could push the peak to 27°C, supporting the market’s tilt toward that outcome. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at the Tacubaya or similar reference station; any late-day clearing or reduced rainfall would favor the higher bin, while earlier or heavier precipitation would reinforce 26°C or below.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย