Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows in Paris on June 17 centering near 14–16°C amid a transition from high pressure to a mild westerly flow, with limited cloud cover potentially enhancing radiative cooling. This range aligns with mid-June climatology of 12–15°C minima, though variability in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing sustains uncertainty across model runs. The market's near-even distribution among 15–21°C outcomes, alongside elevated weighting on 13°C or below, reflects traders pricing in this dispersion rather than a single deterministic value from current guidance. Updated short-range runs from Météo-France and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on June 17?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 17?
13°C or below 36%
15°C 24%
16°C 24%
17°C 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 17, 2026
13°C or below
36%
14°C
17%
15°C
24%
16°C
24%
17°C
23%
18°C
17%
19°C
9%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 36%
15°C 24%
16°C 24%
17°C 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 17, 2026
13°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
18°C
$8 ปริมาณ
17%
19°C
$10 ปริมาณ
9%
20°C
$8 ปริมาณ
8%
21°C
$7 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows in Paris on June 17 centering near 14–16°C amid a transition from high pressure to a mild westerly flow, with limited cloud cover potentially enhancing radiative cooling. This range aligns with mid-June climatology of 12–15°C minima, though variability in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing sustains uncertainty across model runs. The market's near-even distribution among 15–21°C outcomes, alongside elevated weighting on 13°C or below, reflects traders pricing in this dispersion rather than a single deterministic value from current guidance. Updated short-range runs from Météo-France and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows in Paris on June 17 centering near 14–16°C amid a transition from high pressure to a mild westerly flow, with limited cloud cover potentially enhancing radiative cooling. This range aligns with mid-June climatology of 12–15°C minima, though variability in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing sustains uncertainty across model runs. The market's near-even distribution among 15–21°C outcomes, alongside elevated weighting on 13°C or below, reflects traders pricing in this dispersion rather than a single deterministic value from current guidance. Updated short-range runs from Météo-France and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows in Paris on June 17 centering near 14–16°C amid a transition from high pressure to a mild westerly flow, with limited cloud cover potentially enhancing radiative cooling. This range aligns with mid-June climatology of 12–15°C minima, though variability in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing sustains uncertainty across model runs. The market's near-even distribution among 15–21°C outcomes, alongside elevated weighting on 13°C or below, reflects traders pricing in this dispersion rather than a single deterministic value from current guidance. Updated short-range runs from Météo-France and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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