Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–29°C for Taipei’s June 15 high because the lingering East Asian plum-rains pattern continues to deliver widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and afternoon thunderstorms that suppress solar heating and cap daytime peaks. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and short-range model runs (ECMWF, GFS) converge on maximum temperatures near 27–29 °C under these conditions, with historical June analogs showing similar moderation when monsoon moisture remains entrenched. The narrow spread between the top three outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any late-day convection, which can shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C. Updated CWA briefings and final observational data on June 15 will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on June 15?
29°C 26.7%
28°C 20%
30°C 18%
31°C or higher 14%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
11%
28°C
20%
29°C
27%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
14%
29°C 26.7%
28°C 20%
30°C 18%
31°C or higher 14%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
11%
28°C
20%
29°C
27%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–29°C for Taipei’s June 15 high because the lingering East Asian plum-rains pattern continues to deliver widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and afternoon thunderstorms that suppress solar heating and cap daytime peaks. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and short-range model runs (ECMWF, GFS) converge on maximum temperatures near 27–29 °C under these conditions, with historical June analogs showing similar moderation when monsoon moisture remains entrenched. The narrow spread between the top three outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any late-day convection, which can shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C. Updated CWA briefings and final observational data on June 15 will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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