Current forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and European ensembles position the highest temperature in Madrid on June 17 near 34–36 °C, driving the combined 75.5 % market-implied probability for those three outcomes. Persistent high pressure and a lingering warm air mass across the Iberian Peninsula have elevated daytime maxima several degrees above the long-term June average of roughly 29 °C, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring further daytime heating. Recent model runs show modest cooling signals for mid-week, yet uncertainty remains around exact peak values due to potential Saharan intrusions or timing of any Atlantic front. Traders are weighting official station data from Retiro and updated AEMET guidance ahead of the June 16–17 period as the key resolution inputs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on June 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 17?
35°C 36%
34°C 26%
36°C 25%
33°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 17, 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
18%
35°C
36%
36°C
28%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
35°C 36%
34°C 26%
36°C 25%
33°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 17, 2026
32°C or below
$88 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$5 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$107 ปริมาณ
18%
35°C
$74 ปริมาณ
36%
36°C
$62 ปริมาณ
28%
37°C
$30 ปริมาณ
4%
38°C
$7 ปริมาณ
3%
39°C
$47 ปริมาณ
1%
40°C
$240 ปริมาณ
1%
41°C
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
42°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and European ensembles position the highest temperature in Madrid on June 17 near 34–36 °C, driving the combined 75.5 % market-implied probability for those three outcomes. Persistent high pressure and a lingering warm air mass across the Iberian Peninsula have elevated daytime maxima several degrees above the long-term June average of roughly 29 °C, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring further daytime heating. Recent model runs show modest cooling signals for mid-week, yet uncertainty remains around exact peak values due to potential Saharan intrusions or timing of any Atlantic front. Traders are weighting official station data from Retiro and updated AEMET guidance ahead of the June 16–17 period as the key resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$615วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and European ensembles position the highest temperature in Madrid on June 17 near 34–36 °C, driving the combined 75.5 % market-implied probability for those three outcomes. Persistent high pressure and a lingering warm air mass across the Iberian Peninsula have elevated daytime maxima several degrees above the long-term June average of roughly 29 °C, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring further daytime heating. Recent model runs show modest cooling signals for mid-week, yet uncertainty remains around exact peak values due to potential Saharan intrusions or timing of any Atlantic front. Traders are weighting official station data from Retiro and updated AEMET guidance ahead of the June 16–17 period as the key resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$615วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and European ensembles position the highest temperature in Madrid on June 17 near 34–36 °C, driving the combined 75.5 % market-implied probability for those three outcomes. Persistent high pressure and a lingering warm air mass across the Iberian Peninsula have elevated daytime maxima several degrees above the long-term June average of roughly 29 °C, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring further daytime heating. Recent model runs show modest cooling signals for mid-week, yet uncertainty remains around exact peak values due to potential Saharan intrusions or timing of any Atlantic front. Traders are weighting official station data from Retiro and updated AEMET guidance ahead of the June 16–17 period as the key resolution inputs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย