Recent model consensus from agencies like the South African Weather Service points to a mild winter high near 16–17°C for Cape Town on July 21, driven by a strengthening South Atlantic high-pressure system and the stabilizing influence of the cold Benguela Current, which typically caps daytime maxima in the mid-teens during July. Light northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover are expected to support modest warming, yet subtle differences in steering patterns or a passing weak front could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical July averages hover around 18°C, but current ensemble guidance shows tight clustering that explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 16°C and 17°C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions as new runs arrive.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 21?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 21?
17°C 49%
16°C 25%
18°C 20%
15°C 3.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 21, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
25%
17°C
49%
18°C
20%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 49%
16°C 25%
18°C 20%
15°C 3.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 21, 2026
12°C or below
$79 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$75 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$81 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$294 ปริมาณ
4%
16°C
$527 ปริมาณ
25%
17°C
$509 ปริมาณ
49%
18°C
$748 ปริมาณ
20%
19°C
$379 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$77 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$133 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C or higher
$73 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the South African Weather Service points to a mild winter high near 16–17°C for Cape Town on July 21, driven by a strengthening South Atlantic high-pressure system and the stabilizing influence of the cold Benguela Current, which typically caps daytime maxima in the mid-teens during July. Light northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover are expected to support modest warming, yet subtle differences in steering patterns or a passing weak front could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical July averages hover around 18°C, but current ensemble guidance shows tight clustering that explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 16°C and 17°C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions as new runs arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,975วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the South African Weather Service points to a mild winter high near 16–17°C for Cape Town on July 21, driven by a strengthening South Atlantic high-pressure system and the stabilizing influence of the cold Benguela Current, which typically caps daytime maxima in the mid-teens during July. Light northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover are expected to support modest warming, yet subtle differences in steering patterns or a passing weak front could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical July averages hover around 18°C, but current ensemble guidance shows tight clustering that explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 16°C and 17°C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions as new runs arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,975วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the South African Weather Service points to a mild winter high near 16–17°C for Cape Town on July 21, driven by a strengthening South Atlantic high-pressure system and the stabilizing influence of the cold Benguela Current, which typically caps daytime maxima in the mid-teens during July. Light northwesterly winds and limited cloud cover are expected to support modest warming, yet subtle differences in steering patterns or a passing weak front could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical July averages hover around 18°C, but current ensemble guidance shows tight clustering that explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 16°C and 17°C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions as new runs arrive.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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