Forecast uncertainty from afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers in the Sichuan Basin's subtropical monsoon regime is the main driver keeping the highest probabilities clustered around 38°C (22%) and 39°C (19%), with 37°C close behind. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS currently indicates daytime maxima near 36–38°C for July 13, tempered by high humidity (70–80%) and typical monsoon moisture that caps extreme heating despite peak summer insolation. Recent early-July observations show frequent 34–36°C readings under similar conditions, while historical July climatology centers on 30–32°C averages with occasional 35°C+ spikes. Traders are weighting the narrow window for clear-sky intensification versus thunderstorm timing, with the next model runs and CMA updates likely to sharpen resolution ahead of the July 13 observation period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 13?
38°C 27%
39°C 26%
37°C 19%
36°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 13, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
8%
36°C
13%
37°C
16%
38°C
22%
39°C
21%
40°C or higher
8%
38°C 27%
39°C 26%
37°C 19%
36°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 13, 2026
30°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$90 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
36°C
$12 ปริมาณ
13%
37°C
$5 ปริมาณ
16%
38°C
$31 ปริมาณ
22%
39°C
$29 ปริมาณ
21%
40°C or higher
$50 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers in the Sichuan Basin's subtropical monsoon regime is the main driver keeping the highest probabilities clustered around 38°C (22%) and 39°C (19%), with 37°C close behind. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS currently indicates daytime maxima near 36–38°C for July 13, tempered by high humidity (70–80%) and typical monsoon moisture that caps extreme heating despite peak summer insolation. Recent early-July observations show frequent 34–36°C readings under similar conditions, while historical July climatology centers on 30–32°C averages with occasional 35°C+ spikes. Traders are weighting the narrow window for clear-sky intensification versus thunderstorm timing, with the next model runs and CMA updates likely to sharpen resolution ahead of the July 13 observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$147วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty from afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers in the Sichuan Basin's subtropical monsoon regime is the main driver keeping the highest probabilities clustered around 38°C (22%) and 39°C (19%), with 37°C close behind. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS currently indicates daytime maxima near 36–38°C for July 13, tempered by high humidity (70–80%) and typical monsoon moisture that caps extreme heating despite peak summer insolation. Recent early-July observations show frequent 34–36°C readings under similar conditions, while historical July climatology centers on 30–32°C averages with occasional 35°C+ spikes. Traders are weighting the narrow window for clear-sky intensification versus thunderstorm timing, with the next model runs and CMA updates likely to sharpen resolution ahead of the July 13 observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$147วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty from afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers in the Sichuan Basin's subtropical monsoon regime is the main driver keeping the highest probabilities clustered around 38°C (22%) and 39°C (19%), with 37°C close behind. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS currently indicates daytime maxima near 36–38°C for July 13, tempered by high humidity (70–80%) and typical monsoon moisture that caps extreme heating despite peak summer insolation. Recent early-July observations show frequent 34–36°C readings under similar conditions, while historical July climatology centers on 30–32°C averages with occasional 35°C+ spikes. Traders are weighting the narrow window for clear-sky intensification versus thunderstorm timing, with the next model runs and CMA updates likely to sharpen resolution ahead of the July 13 observation period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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