Forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical consensus runs indicate a high near 33–34°C for July 10 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and light winds limiting overnight cooling while allowing modest daytime heating. The HKO’s July–September seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July maxima around 31°C, supporting trader focus on the 33–34°C outcomes that together exceed 60% implied probability. Short-term model spread introduces uncertainty over cloud cover or weak disturbances that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower, while any unexpected clear skies or reduced moisture might push readings toward 35–36°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory observations at the designated station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 10?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 10?
33°C 40%
32°C 38%
34°C 20.1%
31°C 5.1%
ใหม่
$88,757 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$88,757 ปริมาณ
Jul 10, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
38%
33°C
40%
34°C
20%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 40%
32°C 38%
34°C 20.1%
31°C 5.1%
ใหม่
$88,757 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$88,757 ปริมาณ
Jul 10, 2026
26°C or below
$2,216 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,917 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$4,160 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$8,430 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$10,237 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$9,493 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$8,687 ปริมาณ
38%
33°C
$15,743 ปริมาณ
40%
34°C
$10,747 ปริมาณ
20%
35°C
$9,863 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C or higher
$7,283 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical consensus runs indicate a high near 33–34°C for July 10 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and light winds limiting overnight cooling while allowing modest daytime heating. The HKO’s July–September seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July maxima around 31°C, supporting trader focus on the 33–34°C outcomes that together exceed 60% implied probability. Short-term model spread introduces uncertainty over cloud cover or weak disturbances that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower, while any unexpected clear skies or reduced moisture might push readings toward 35–36°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory observations at the designated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,757วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical consensus runs indicate a high near 33–34°C for July 10 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and light winds limiting overnight cooling while allowing modest daytime heating. The HKO’s July–September seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July maxima around 31°C, supporting trader focus on the 33–34°C outcomes that together exceed 60% implied probability. Short-term model spread introduces uncertainty over cloud cover or weak disturbances that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower, while any unexpected clear skies or reduced moisture might push readings toward 35–36°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory observations at the designated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,757วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical consensus runs indicate a high near 33–34°C for July 10 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and light winds limiting overnight cooling while allowing modest daytime heating. The HKO’s July–September seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July maxima around 31°C, supporting trader focus on the 33–34°C outcomes that together exceed 60% implied probability. Short-term model spread introduces uncertainty over cloud cover or weak disturbances that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower, while any unexpected clear skies or reduced moisture might push readings toward 35–36°C. Resolution hinges on official Observatory observations at the designated station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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