Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a strengthening heat wave across Southern California as the main driver behind the market's concentration on 76-77°F, with marine-layer moderation and onshore flow expected to limit extreme peaks at official Los Angeles stations. Recent daily maxima near 75°F, combined with a heat advisory extending through July 9, have shifted trader sentiment upward from earlier July baselines while capping probabilities for 80°F-plus outcomes. El Niño conditions now emerging in the Pacific may contribute to warmer-than-average coastal temperatures, though short-term steering patterns and afternoon sea breezes remain the dominant variables. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefing are the key near-term catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on July 9?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 9?
74-75°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$107,658 ปริมาณ
$107,658 ปริมาณ
Jul 9, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$107,658 ปริมาณ
$107,658 ปริมาณ
Jul 9, 2026
67°F or below
$2,488 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$2,480 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$4,220 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$29,163 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$22,103 ปริมาณ
100%
76-77°F
$18,677 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$6,922 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$5,783 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$1,612 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$3,258 ปริมาณ
<1%
86°F or higher
$10,953 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a strengthening heat wave across Southern California as the main driver behind the market's concentration on 76-77°F, with marine-layer moderation and onshore flow expected to limit extreme peaks at official Los Angeles stations. Recent daily maxima near 75°F, combined with a heat advisory extending through July 9, have shifted trader sentiment upward from earlier July baselines while capping probabilities for 80°F-plus outcomes. El Niño conditions now emerging in the Pacific may contribute to warmer-than-average coastal temperatures, though short-term steering patterns and afternoon sea breezes remain the dominant variables. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefing are the key near-term catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$107,658วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a strengthening heat wave across Southern California as the main driver behind the market's concentration on 76-77°F, with marine-layer moderation and onshore flow expected to limit extreme peaks at official Los Angeles stations. Recent daily maxima near 75°F, combined with a heat advisory extending through July 9, have shifted trader sentiment upward from earlier July baselines while capping probabilities for 80°F-plus outcomes. El Niño conditions now emerging in the Pacific may contribute to warmer-than-average coastal temperatures, though short-term steering patterns and afternoon sea breezes remain the dominant variables. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefing are the key near-term catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$107,658วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a strengthening heat wave across Southern California as the main driver behind the market's concentration on 76-77°F, with marine-layer moderation and onshore flow expected to limit extreme peaks at official Los Angeles stations. Recent daily maxima near 75°F, combined with a heat advisory extending through July 9, have shifted trader sentiment upward from earlier July baselines while capping probabilities for 80°F-plus outcomes. El Niño conditions now emerging in the Pacific may contribute to warmer-than-average coastal temperatures, though short-term steering patterns and afternoon sea breezes remain the dominant variables. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefing are the key near-term catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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