**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul on July 10?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 10?
28°C 62%
29°C 34%
30°C 2.1%
31°C or higher 1.1%
ใหม่
$84,634 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$84,634 ปริมาณ
Jul 10, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
62%
29°C
34%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 62%
29°C 34%
30°C 2.1%
31°C or higher 1.1%
ใหม่
$84,634 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$84,634 ปริมาณ
Jul 10, 2026
21°C or below
$2,291 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$2,132 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$4,194 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$3,051 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$6,185 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$16,208 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$17,890 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$9,477 ปริมาณ
62%
29°C
$8,092 ปริมาณ
34%
30°C
$7,798 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C or higher
$7,698 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$84,634วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$84,634วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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