Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 11 point to a maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. A strong Pacific High extending over Honshu sustains above-normal warmth following early-July records, yet increasing moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce modest cooling that favors the 30°C outcome over higher thresholds. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, while model consensus on limited intensification from subtropical flow keeps probabilities for 32°C or above under 10%. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns or humidity.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 11?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 11?
30°C 40%
29°C 30%
31°C 19%
28°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 11, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
30%
30°C
40%
31°C
19%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
29°C 30%
31°C 19%
28°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 11, 2026
26°C or below
$337 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$698 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$743 ปริมาณ
8%
29°C
$2,360 ปริมาณ
30%
30°C
$1,621 ปริมาณ
40%
31°C
$409 ปริมาณ
19%
32°C
$221 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C
$690 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$281 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$474 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$628 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 11 point to a maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. A strong Pacific High extending over Honshu sustains above-normal warmth following early-July records, yet increasing moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce modest cooling that favors the 30°C outcome over higher thresholds. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, while model consensus on limited intensification from subtropical flow keeps probabilities for 32°C or above under 10%. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns or humidity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,462วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 11 point to a maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. A strong Pacific High extending over Honshu sustains above-normal warmth following early-July records, yet increasing moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce modest cooling that favors the 30°C outcome over higher thresholds. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, while model consensus on limited intensification from subtropical flow keeps probabilities for 32°C or above under 10%. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns or humidity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,462วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 11 point to a maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. A strong Pacific High extending over Honshu sustains above-normal warmth following early-July records, yet increasing moisture and possible afternoon cloud cover introduce modest cooling that favors the 30°C outcome over higher thresholds. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, while model consensus on limited intensification from subtropical flow keeps probabilities for 32°C or above under 10%. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns or humidity.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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