Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Guangzhou’s July 15 maximum, reflecting short-range model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles that show afternoon temperatures near the seasonal 33°C average but tempered by scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover expected to limit peak heating. Subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and southerly flow, favor convective development that can suppress daytime highs by 1–2°C on any given day, while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Recent broader heat anomalies across southern China have kept probabilities for sub-30°C outcomes low, yet the tight spread among leading bins underscores forecast uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity over the next 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on July 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 15?
32°C 35%
31°C 32%
33°C 16%
30°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 15, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
32%
32°C
35%
33°C
16%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
31°C 32%
33°C 16%
30°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 15, 2026
26°C or below
$109 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$757 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$939 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$548 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$353 ปริมาณ
8%
31°C
$150 ปริมาณ
32%
32°C
$100 ปริมาณ
35%
33°C
$302 ปริมาณ
16%
34°C
$314 ปริมาณ
6%
35°C
$167 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$573 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Guangzhou’s July 15 maximum, reflecting short-range model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles that show afternoon temperatures near the seasonal 33°C average but tempered by scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover expected to limit peak heating. Subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and southerly flow, favor convective development that can suppress daytime highs by 1–2°C on any given day, while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Recent broader heat anomalies across southern China have kept probabilities for sub-30°C outcomes low, yet the tight spread among leading bins underscores forecast uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,311วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Guangzhou’s July 15 maximum, reflecting short-range model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles that show afternoon temperatures near the seasonal 33°C average but tempered by scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover expected to limit peak heating. Subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and southerly flow, favor convective development that can suppress daytime highs by 1–2°C on any given day, while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Recent broader heat anomalies across southern China have kept probabilities for sub-30°C outcomes low, yet the tight spread among leading bins underscores forecast uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,311วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Guangzhou’s July 15 maximum, reflecting short-range model guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles that show afternoon temperatures near the seasonal 33°C average but tempered by scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover expected to limit peak heating. Subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and southerly flow, favor convective development that can suppress daytime highs by 1–2°C on any given day, while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Recent broader heat anomalies across southern China have kept probabilities for sub-30°C outcomes low, yet the tight spread among leading bins underscores forecast uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity over the next 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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