Traders see the 28–29°C outcomes as closely matched because short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to partly cloudy skies with showers on August 3 that should cap the daily maximum slightly below the August climatological average of ~31°C. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures reflect the long-term warming trend and ENSO-neutral conditions, yet the immediate steering pattern favors increased moisture and reduced insolation, lowering peak readings by 2–3°C relative to clear-sky scenarios. Key variables separating the narrow band include the exact timing and coverage of convective showers, boundary-layer humidity, and any urban heat-island amplification at the official measurement site; later model runs or updated radar trends could shift probabilities between these two bins ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
28°C 34%
29°C 30%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
34%
29°C
30%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 34%
29°C 30%
27°C 20%
30°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
$797 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$11 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$562 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$86 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$112 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$262 ปริมาณ
20%
28°C
$134 ปริมาณ
34%
29°C
$600 ปริมาณ
30%
30°C
$298 ปริมาณ
8%
31°C
$362 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C or higher
$83 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the 28–29°C outcomes as closely matched because short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to partly cloudy skies with showers on August 3 that should cap the daily maximum slightly below the August climatological average of ~31°C. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures reflect the long-term warming trend and ENSO-neutral conditions, yet the immediate steering pattern favors increased moisture and reduced insolation, lowering peak readings by 2–3°C relative to clear-sky scenarios. Key variables separating the narrow band include the exact timing and coverage of convective showers, boundary-layer humidity, and any urban heat-island amplification at the official measurement site; later model runs or updated radar trends could shift probabilities between these two bins ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,307วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the 28–29°C outcomes as closely matched because short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to partly cloudy skies with showers on August 3 that should cap the daily maximum slightly below the August climatological average of ~31°C. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures reflect the long-term warming trend and ENSO-neutral conditions, yet the immediate steering pattern favors increased moisture and reduced insolation, lowering peak readings by 2–3°C relative to clear-sky scenarios. Key variables separating the narrow band include the exact timing and coverage of convective showers, boundary-layer humidity, and any urban heat-island amplification at the official measurement site; later model runs or updated radar trends could shift probabilities between these two bins ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,307วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 28–29°C outcomes as closely matched because short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to partly cloudy skies with showers on August 3 that should cap the daily maximum slightly below the August climatological average of ~31°C. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures reflect the long-term warming trend and ENSO-neutral conditions, yet the immediate steering pattern favors increased moisture and reduced insolation, lowering peak readings by 2–3°C relative to clear-sky scenarios. Key variables separating the narrow band include the exact timing and coverage of convective showers, boundary-layer humidity, and any urban heat-island amplification at the official measurement site; later model runs or updated radar trends could shift probabilities between these two bins ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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