Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 2?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 2?
32°C 35%
33°C 29%
31°C 25%
30°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 2, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
11%
31°C
25%
32°C
35%
33°C
29%
34°C
8%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
33°C 29%
31°C 25%
30°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 2, 2026
27°C or below
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$39 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$39 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$65 ปริมาณ
11%
31°C
$50 ปริมาณ
25%
32°C
$133 ปริมาณ
35%
33°C
$130 ปริมาณ
29%
34°C
$32 ปริมาณ
8%
35°C
$22 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C
$131 ปริมาณ
3%
37°C or higher
$126 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$808วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$808วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for July 2 point to a maximum temperature range of 28–33 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 31–33 °C. Seasonal guidance for June–August indicates above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, yet short-term model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover, humidity near 80–90 %, and light northeasterly winds that can suppress peak readings. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any rain bands or afternoon clearing will determine whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of this narrow band, keeping the leading outcomes closely contested until updated model guidance emerges closer to the date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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