**Cloud cover and scattered showers expected on July 2 are the main factors tempering trader expectations for Tokyo’s daily maximum.** Official JMA guidance highlights cloudy conditions with frequent showers, which limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 29–30°C. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in shower timing or intensity create the tight clustering around 23–25°C, as even modest increases in cloud thickness or earlier rain onset can shave 2–4°C off the peak. Above-normal summer temperatures projected by JMA provide a baseline warm bias, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors moderation. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high and likely drive the largest shifts in market-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 2?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 2?
25°C 28%
23°C 25%
24°C 24%
26°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 2, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
25%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C
8%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 28%
23°C 25%
24°C 24%
26°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 2, 2026
19°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$10 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
23°C
$350 ปริมาณ
25%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
25°C
$296 ปริมาณ
28%
26°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
27°C
$10 ปริมาณ
5%
28°C
$15 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C or higher
$215 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover and scattered showers expected on July 2 are the main factors tempering trader expectations for Tokyo’s daily maximum.** Official JMA guidance highlights cloudy conditions with frequent showers, which limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 29–30°C. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in shower timing or intensity create the tight clustering around 23–25°C, as even modest increases in cloud thickness or earlier rain onset can shave 2–4°C off the peak. Above-normal summer temperatures projected by JMA provide a baseline warm bias, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors moderation. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high and likely drive the largest shifts in market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$922วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover and scattered showers expected on July 2 are the main factors tempering trader expectations for Tokyo’s daily maximum.** Official JMA guidance highlights cloudy conditions with frequent showers, which limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 29–30°C. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in shower timing or intensity create the tight clustering around 23–25°C, as even modest increases in cloud thickness or earlier rain onset can shave 2–4°C off the peak. Above-normal summer temperatures projected by JMA provide a baseline warm bias, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors moderation. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high and likely drive the largest shifts in market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$922วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover and scattered showers expected on July 2 are the main factors tempering trader expectations for Tokyo’s daily maximum.** Official JMA guidance highlights cloudy conditions with frequent showers, which limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 29–30°C. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in shower timing or intensity create the tight clustering around 23–25°C, as even modest increases in cloud thickness or earlier rain onset can shave 2–4°C off the peak. Above-normal summer temperatures projected by JMA provide a baseline warm bias, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors moderation. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high and likely drive the largest shifts in market-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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