Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?
31°C 36%
30°C 30%
32°C 18%
29°C 16%
ใหม่
$13,107 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,107 ปริมาณ
Jun 19, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
16%
30°C
30%
31°C
36%
32°C
18%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 30%
32°C 18%
29°C 16%
ใหม่
$13,107 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,107 ปริมาณ
Jun 19, 2026
25°C or below
$485 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$185 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$922 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$966 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$1,411 ปริมาณ
16%
30°C
$3,141 ปริมาณ
30%
31°C
$2,320 ปริมาณ
36%
32°C
$1,278 ปริมาณ
18%
33°C
$1,013 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C
$503 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$882 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,107วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,107วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and model consensus project above-normal June temperatures driven by ongoing climate warming trends and a neutral-to-weak ENSO backdrop, with limited frontal activity to suppress maxima. For June 19 specifically, short-range forecasts indicate moderate rain and high humidity under the southwest monsoon, which typically caps daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while still allowing peaks near the 30–31°C range consistent with climatology. These conditions explain the tight clustering around 30°C and 31°C outcomes, as modest shifts in rainfall timing, wind speed, or insolation could differentiate the exact maximum recorded at official stations. Traders are weighting the balance of persistent warmth against potential convective suppression in the two-day window ahead.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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