Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a peak temperature of 97–99°F in Houston on August 2 under persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow from the Gulf, limiting daytime mixing and allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with early-August climatology near 95°F while reflecting slightly above-normal 850-hPa temperatures and dew points in the mid-70s that enhance heat retention. Traders have placed the strongest weight on the 98–99°F bin as model spreads remain narrow within 24 hours of the event, though small westward shifts in the subtropical ridge or increased cloud cover could trim highs toward 96–97°F. Updated short-range guidance and morning soundings will be the next key inputs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on August 2?
98-99°F 40%
96-97°F 32%
100-101°F 15%
94-95°F 9%
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
40%
100-101°F
15%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 40%
96-97°F 32%
100-101°F 15%
94-95°F 9%
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
40%
100-101°F
15%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model consensus points to a peak temperature of 97–99°F in Houston on August 2 under persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow from the Gulf, limiting daytime mixing and allowing strong solar heating. This aligns with early-August climatology near 95°F while reflecting slightly above-normal 850-hPa temperatures and dew points in the mid-70s that enhance heat retention. Traders have placed the strongest weight on the 98–99°F bin as model spreads remain narrow within 24 hours of the event, though small westward shifts in the subtropical ridge or increased cloud cover could trim highs toward 96–97°F. Updated short-range guidance and morning soundings will be the next key inputs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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