**Trader sentiment for Kuala Lumpur’s June 18 high temperature centers on the narrow 32–33°C band because short-range forecasts and climatology point to typical early-monsoon conditions with modest day-to-day variability.** Historical June maxima average near 32°C, and current model guidance shows highs most often reaching 31–33°C before afternoon convection develops. Market prices reflect this tight clustering: 33°C leads slightly at 34.5% implied probability, followed closely by 32°C at 32.5%, while probabilities drop sharply outside 31–34°C. The main scientific drivers are the strength and timing of tropical convection, which can suppress peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, versus periods of clearer skies that allow stronger surface heating. Sea-breeze circulation, humidity levels near 80%, and any subtle steering influences on showers also differentiate the exact peak. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are weighting the latest official guidance from Malaysian meteorological sources and global models that show only small differences in expected maximum, keeping the two central outcomes nearly even.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on June 18?
33°C 35%
32°C 33%
34°C 15.9%
31°C 13%
$22,849 ปริมาณ
$22,849 ปริมาณ
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
13%
32°C
33%
33°C
35%
34°C
16%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 33%
34°C 15.9%
31°C 13%
$22,849 ปริมาณ
$22,849 ปริมาณ
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
13%
32°C
33%
33°C
35%
34°C
16%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Kuala Lumpur’s June 18 high temperature centers on the narrow 32–33°C band because short-range forecasts and climatology point to typical early-monsoon conditions with modest day-to-day variability.** Historical June maxima average near 32°C, and current model guidance shows highs most often reaching 31–33°C before afternoon convection develops. Market prices reflect this tight clustering: 33°C leads slightly at 34.5% implied probability, followed closely by 32°C at 32.5%, while probabilities drop sharply outside 31–34°C. The main scientific drivers are the strength and timing of tropical convection, which can suppress peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, versus periods of clearer skies that allow stronger surface heating. Sea-breeze circulation, humidity levels near 80%, and any subtle steering influences on showers also differentiate the exact peak. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are weighting the latest official guidance from Malaysian meteorological sources and global models that show only small differences in expected maximum, keeping the two central outcomes nearly even.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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