Recent JMA and global model consensus points to a highest Tokyo temperature of 25–27°C on June 18, driven by lingering tsuyu moisture, variable cloud cover, and weak Pacific high pressure limiting strong daytime heating. Key variables include solar insolation modulated by showers, southeasterly flow advecting maritime air, and Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C under clearer conditions. Seasonal context shows above-normal warmth from ongoing El Niño, yet mid-June climatology and forecast spread support the current market distribution across 24–29°C outcomes. New model runs and updated guidance expected within 24 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 18?
26°C 33%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
22%
26°C
33%
27°C
21%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 18, 2026
21°C or below
$232 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$28 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$66 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$62 ปริมาณ
14%
25°C
$50 ปริมาณ
22%
26°C
$20 ปริมาณ
33%
27°C
$230 ปริมาณ
21%
28°C
$170 ปริมาณ
7%
29°C
$402 ปริมาณ
7%
30°C
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C or higher
$11 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA and global model consensus points to a highest Tokyo temperature of 25–27°C on June 18, driven by lingering tsuyu moisture, variable cloud cover, and weak Pacific high pressure limiting strong daytime heating. Key variables include solar insolation modulated by showers, southeasterly flow advecting maritime air, and Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C under clearer conditions. Seasonal context shows above-normal warmth from ongoing El Niño, yet mid-June climatology and forecast spread support the current market distribution across 24–29°C outcomes. New model runs and updated guidance expected within 24 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,241วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA and global model consensus points to a highest Tokyo temperature of 25–27°C on June 18, driven by lingering tsuyu moisture, variable cloud cover, and weak Pacific high pressure limiting strong daytime heating. Key variables include solar insolation modulated by showers, southeasterly flow advecting maritime air, and Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C under clearer conditions. Seasonal context shows above-normal warmth from ongoing El Niño, yet mid-June climatology and forecast spread support the current market distribution across 24–29°C outcomes. New model runs and updated guidance expected within 24 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,241วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA and global model consensus points to a highest Tokyo temperature of 25–27°C on June 18, driven by lingering tsuyu moisture, variable cloud cover, and weak Pacific high pressure limiting strong daytime heating. Key variables include solar insolation modulated by showers, southeasterly flow advecting maritime air, and Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C under clearer conditions. Seasonal context shows above-normal warmth from ongoing El Niño, yet mid-June climatology and forecast spread support the current market distribution across 24–29°C outcomes. New model runs and updated guidance expected within 24 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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