Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions for June 16, with expected highs of 26–29°C amid heavy showers and high humidity. These factors limit solar heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, favoring the market's closely matched 28°C and 29°C outcomes over higher probabilities. Seasonal outlooks note above-normal June temperatures overall, yet short-term model consensus points to suppressed maxima compared to the 31°C climatological average. Traders monitor updated HKO guidance and ensemble runs for any shifts in steering flow or monsoon strength ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
28°C 36%
29°C 32%
30°C 19%
27°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
31%
29°C
32%
30°C
19%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 36%
29°C 32%
30°C 19%
27°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
$17 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$13 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$231 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$89 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$62 ปริมาณ
11%
28°C
$71 ปริมาณ
31%
29°C
$150 ปริมาณ
32%
30°C
$59 ปริมาณ
19%
31°C
$238 ปริมาณ
7%
32°C
$111 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C or higher
$23 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions for June 16, with expected highs of 26–29°C amid heavy showers and high humidity. These factors limit solar heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, favoring the market's closely matched 28°C and 29°C outcomes over higher probabilities. Seasonal outlooks note above-normal June temperatures overall, yet short-term model consensus points to suppressed maxima compared to the 31°C climatological average. Traders monitor updated HKO guidance and ensemble runs for any shifts in steering flow or monsoon strength ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$960วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions for June 16, with expected highs of 26–29°C amid heavy showers and high humidity. These factors limit solar heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, favoring the market's closely matched 28°C and 29°C outcomes over higher probabilities. Seasonal outlooks note above-normal June temperatures overall, yet short-term model consensus points to suppressed maxima compared to the 31°C climatological average. Traders monitor updated HKO guidance and ensemble runs for any shifts in steering flow or monsoon strength ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$960วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory highlight an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions for June 16, with expected highs of 26–29°C amid heavy showers and high humidity. These factors limit solar heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, favoring the market's closely matched 28°C and 29°C outcomes over higher probabilities. Seasonal outlooks note above-normal June temperatures overall, yet short-term model consensus points to suppressed maxima compared to the 31°C climatological average. Traders monitor updated HKO guidance and ensemble runs for any shifts in steering flow or monsoon strength ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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