Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 18 will likely peak near 15–16°C, explaining the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and limited daytime solar heating under a stable air mass are suppressing stronger warming, while any breaks in the overcast could allow brief rises toward 17°C. These conditions align with typical mid-June variability in the region, where daily highs average around 20°C but frequently fall several degrees under similar synoptic setups; updated model runs tonight and early morning observations will refine the exact peak before markets resolve.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
16°C 34%
15°C 33%
17°C 16%
14°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
33%
16°C
34%
17°C
16%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 34%
15°C 33%
17°C 16%
14°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
$163 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$562 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$489 ปริมาณ
9%
15°C
$488 ปริมาณ
33%
16°C
$490 ปริมาณ
34%
17°C
$1,740 ปริมาณ
16%
18°C
$1,389 ปริมาณ
7%
19°C
$1,027 ปริมาณ
3%
20°C
$1,300 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$447 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$633 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 18 will likely peak near 15–16°C, explaining the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and limited daytime solar heating under a stable air mass are suppressing stronger warming, while any breaks in the overcast could allow brief rises toward 17°C. These conditions align with typical mid-June variability in the region, where daily highs average around 20°C but frequently fall several degrees under similar synoptic setups; updated model runs tonight and early morning observations will refine the exact peak before markets resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,728วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 18 will likely peak near 15–16°C, explaining the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and limited daytime solar heating under a stable air mass are suppressing stronger warming, while any breaks in the overcast could allow brief rises toward 17°C. These conditions align with typical mid-June variability in the region, where daily highs average around 20°C but frequently fall several degrees under similar synoptic setups; updated model runs tonight and early morning observations will refine the exact peak before markets resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,728วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 18 will likely peak near 15–16°C, explaining the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly winds, and limited daytime solar heating under a stable air mass are suppressing stronger warming, while any breaks in the overcast could allow brief rises toward 17°C. These conditions align with typical mid-June variability in the region, where daily highs average around 20°C but frequently fall several degrees under similar synoptic setups; updated model runs tonight and early morning observations will refine the exact peak before markets resolve.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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