Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and Met Office indicate Wellington highs near 13–15°C on June 18, driven by developing northwesterlies that favor mild advection over typical winter cooling. Seasonal NIWA outlooks for April–June 2026 assign the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with historical June maxima of 12–13°C and limited variability from passing fronts. The market's emphasis on 14°C reflects trader weighting of these model consensus runs and the low likelihood of strong southerly outbreaks in the current pattern, while uncertainty in exact frontal timing keeps 13°C and 15°C as viable alternatives. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on June 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 18?
14°C 51%
15°C 23%
13°C 22%
12°C 3.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
22%
14°C
51%
15°C
23%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 51%
15°C 23%
13°C 22%
12°C 3.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 18, 2026
8°C or below
$289 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$129 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$164 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$248 ปริมาณ
1%
12°C
$134 ปริมาณ
3%
13°C
$439 ปริมาณ
22%
14°C
$218 ปริมาณ
51%
15°C
$1,082 ปริมาณ
23%
16°C
$508 ปริมาณ
3%
17°C
$152 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C or higher
$218 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and Met Office indicate Wellington highs near 13–15°C on June 18, driven by developing northwesterlies that favor mild advection over typical winter cooling. Seasonal NIWA outlooks for April–June 2026 assign the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with historical June maxima of 12–13°C and limited variability from passing fronts. The market's emphasis on 14°C reflects trader weighting of these model consensus runs and the low likelihood of strong southerly outbreaks in the current pattern, while uncertainty in exact frontal timing keeps 13°C and 15°C as viable alternatives. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,567วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and Met Office indicate Wellington highs near 13–15°C on June 18, driven by developing northwesterlies that favor mild advection over typical winter cooling. Seasonal NIWA outlooks for April–June 2026 assign the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with historical June maxima of 12–13°C and limited variability from passing fronts. The market's emphasis on 14°C reflects trader weighting of these model consensus runs and the low likelihood of strong southerly outbreaks in the current pattern, while uncertainty in exact frontal timing keeps 13°C and 15°C as viable alternatives. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,567วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from Metservice and Met Office indicate Wellington highs near 13–15°C on June 18, driven by developing northwesterlies that favor mild advection over typical winter cooling. Seasonal NIWA outlooks for April–June 2026 assign the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with historical June maxima of 12–13°C and limited variability from passing fronts. The market's emphasis on 14°C reflects trader weighting of these model consensus runs and the low likelihood of strong southerly outbreaks in the current pattern, while uncertainty in exact frontal timing keeps 13°C and 15°C as viable alternatives. Updated model guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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