Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Chengdu's June 18 maximum near 30–31 °C under typical early-summer monsoon flow, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins reflecting genuine uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating and possible scattered convection. Recent guidance shows modest warming from upstream high pressure but also elevated humidity and cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C, while clearer slots could allow brief excursions toward 32 °C. Historical June climatology centers on 28–30 °C highs, so traders are weighting the latest short-range model consensus and expected diurnal temperature range against the chance of timing shifts in any showers. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 48 hours will likely tighten resolution odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 18?
31°C 30%
30°C 26%
29°C 18%
28°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
18%
30°C
26%
31°C
30%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 30%
30°C 26%
29°C 18%
28°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
$239 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$87 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$111 ปริมาณ
10%
29°C
$138 ปริมาณ
18%
30°C
$173 ปริมาณ
26%
31°C
$600 ปริมาณ
30%
32°C
$128 ปริมาณ
9%
33°C
$31 ปริมาณ
4%
34°C
$39 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$190 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$937 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Chengdu's June 18 maximum near 30–31 °C under typical early-summer monsoon flow, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins reflecting genuine uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating and possible scattered convection. Recent guidance shows modest warming from upstream high pressure but also elevated humidity and cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C, while clearer slots could allow brief excursions toward 32 °C. Historical June climatology centers on 28–30 °C highs, so traders are weighting the latest short-range model consensus and expected diurnal temperature range against the chance of timing shifts in any showers. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 48 hours will likely tighten resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,637วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Chengdu's June 18 maximum near 30–31 °C under typical early-summer monsoon flow, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins reflecting genuine uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating and possible scattered convection. Recent guidance shows modest warming from upstream high pressure but also elevated humidity and cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C, while clearer slots could allow brief excursions toward 32 °C. Historical June climatology centers on 28–30 °C highs, so traders are weighting the latest short-range model consensus and expected diurnal temperature range against the chance of timing shifts in any showers. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 48 hours will likely tighten resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,637วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Chengdu's June 18 maximum near 30–31 °C under typical early-summer monsoon flow, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins reflecting genuine uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating and possible scattered convection. Recent guidance shows modest warming from upstream high pressure but also elevated humidity and cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 1–2 °C, while clearer slots could allow brief excursions toward 32 °C. Historical June climatology centers on 28–30 °C highs, so traders are weighting the latest short-range model consensus and expected diurnal temperature range against the chance of timing shifts in any showers. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 48 hours will likely tighten resolution odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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