PAGASA’s official forecast for Metro Manila projects a maximum of 29°C on August 8, aligning with the market’s leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome and 32.5% for 28°C. Persistent southwest monsoon flow and residual moisture from a nearby low-pressure area are expected to sustain cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting daytime heating below the month’s typical 30–31°C climatological average. Model consensus shows only modest variability in peak readings, with resolution depending on exact timing of convective activity and any late-day clearing. Updated PAGASA guidance and real-time observations from Ninoy Aquino International Airport will determine whether temperatures settle at or just below the forecast maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 8?
29°C 50%
28°C 33%
30°C 16%
31°C 3%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
33%
29°C
50%
30°C
16%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 50%
28°C 33%
30°C 16%
31°C 3%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
33%
29°C
50%
30°C
16%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA’s official forecast for Metro Manila projects a maximum of 29°C on August 8, aligning with the market’s leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome and 32.5% for 28°C. Persistent southwest monsoon flow and residual moisture from a nearby low-pressure area are expected to sustain cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting daytime heating below the month’s typical 30–31°C climatological average. Model consensus shows only modest variability in peak readings, with resolution depending on exact timing of convective activity and any late-day clearing. Updated PAGASA guidance and real-time observations from Ninoy Aquino International Airport will determine whether temperatures settle at or just below the forecast maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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