Trader consensus for Manila's June 27 maximum temperature centers on 30–33°C outcomes, reflecting PAGASA forecasts of highs near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon onset. Increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity from the habagat typically cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating, consistent with June climatology where averages hover around 31–32°C. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity—stronger monsoon bursts could suppress readings toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals allow brief climbs to 33°C. Model runs show divergence on convective activity over the next 48 hours, sustaining the tight spread in market-implied odds across these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on June 27?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 27?
32°C 43%
33°C 40%
31°C 11%
34°C 9.3%
ใหม่
$16,176 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,176 ปริมาณ
Jun 27, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
11%
32°C
43%
33°C
40%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
33°C 40%
31°C 11%
34°C 9.3%
ใหม่
$16,176 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,176 ปริมาณ
Jun 27, 2026
26°C or below
$3,549 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$739 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,022 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$997 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$1,744 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$1,139 ปริมาณ
11%
32°C
$1,285 ปริมาณ
43%
33°C
$1,922 ปริมาณ
40%
34°C
$2,710 ปริมาณ
9%
35°C
$643 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$561 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Manila's June 27 maximum temperature centers on 30–33°C outcomes, reflecting PAGASA forecasts of highs near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon onset. Increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity from the habagat typically cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating, consistent with June climatology where averages hover around 31–32°C. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity—stronger monsoon bursts could suppress readings toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals allow brief climbs to 33°C. Model runs show divergence on convective activity over the next 48 hours, sustaining the tight spread in market-implied odds across these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,176วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Manila's June 27 maximum temperature centers on 30–33°C outcomes, reflecting PAGASA forecasts of highs near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon onset. Increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity from the habagat typically cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating, consistent with June climatology where averages hover around 31–32°C. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity—stronger monsoon bursts could suppress readings toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals allow brief climbs to 33°C. Model runs show divergence on convective activity over the next 48 hours, sustaining the tight spread in market-implied odds across these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,176วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Manila's June 27 maximum temperature centers on 30–33°C outcomes, reflecting PAGASA forecasts of highs near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon onset. Increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity from the habagat typically cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating, consistent with June climatology where averages hover around 31–32°C. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity—stronger monsoon bursts could suppress readings toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals allow brief climbs to 33°C. Model runs show divergence on convective activity over the next 48 hours, sustaining the tight spread in market-implied odds across these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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