Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF place São Paulo’s August 1 maximum near 26–28 °C under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. This positioning keeps 27 °C and 28 °C as the closest market outcomes, reflecting small differences in predicted solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of peak temperature. Urban heat-island effects around the Guarulhos reference station can add 1–2 °C relative to surrounding rural areas, while model spread in low-level moisture and afternoon convection introduces the remaining uncertainty. Historical August averages of 23–25 °C provide climatological context, but the current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance expected overnight will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 27 °C or 28 °C threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 1?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 1?
27°C 40%
28°C 29%
26°C 23%
29°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 1, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
23%
27°C
40%
28°C
29%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
4%
27°C 40%
28°C 29%
26°C 23%
29°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 1, 2026
21°C or below
$168 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$159 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$163 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$35 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$198 ปริมาณ
5%
26°C
$697 ปริมาณ
23%
27°C
$4,348 ปริมาณ
40%
28°C
$540 ปริมาณ
29%
29°C
$232 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C
$170 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C or higher
$20 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF place São Paulo’s August 1 maximum near 26–28 °C under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. This positioning keeps 27 °C and 28 °C as the closest market outcomes, reflecting small differences in predicted solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of peak temperature. Urban heat-island effects around the Guarulhos reference station can add 1–2 °C relative to surrounding rural areas, while model spread in low-level moisture and afternoon convection introduces the remaining uncertainty. Historical August averages of 23–25 °C provide climatological context, but the current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance expected overnight will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 27 °C or 28 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,730วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF place São Paulo’s August 1 maximum near 26–28 °C under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. This positioning keeps 27 °C and 28 °C as the closest market outcomes, reflecting small differences in predicted solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of peak temperature. Urban heat-island effects around the Guarulhos reference station can add 1–2 °C relative to surrounding rural areas, while model spread in low-level moisture and afternoon convection introduces the remaining uncertainty. Historical August averages of 23–25 °C provide climatological context, but the current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance expected overnight will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 27 °C or 28 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,730วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF place São Paulo’s August 1 maximum near 26–28 °C under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. This positioning keeps 27 °C and 28 °C as the closest market outcomes, reflecting small differences in predicted solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of peak temperature. Urban heat-island effects around the Guarulhos reference station can add 1–2 °C relative to surrounding rural areas, while model spread in low-level moisture and afternoon convection introduces the remaining uncertainty. Historical August averages of 23–25 °C provide climatological context, but the current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance expected overnight will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 27 °C or 28 °C threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย