Recent NWS model guidance and ensemble runs place Seattle’s August 2 high temperature most likely in the 70–73 °F range, reflecting the influence of a developing El Niño pattern that has favored warmer-than-normal early-August conditions across the Pacific Northwest. Onshore marine flow and variable low-level stratus are the key variables separating the closely matched 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, as modest differences in wind direction or timing of afternoon clearing can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °F. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 76 °F, yet persistent marine air this season has kept readings several degrees cooler, sustaining trader focus on the next 12–18 hours of observational data and updated short-range forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on August 2?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 2?
70-71°F 36%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 25%
66-67°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 36%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 25%
66-67°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
63°F or below
$70 ปริมาณ
1%
64-65°F
$142 ปริมาณ
3%
66-67°F
$76 ปริมาณ
7%
68-69°F
$324 ปริมาณ
25%
70-71°F
$170 ปริมาณ
36%
72-73°F
$810 ปริมาณ
29%
74-75°F
$473 ปริมาณ
4%
76-77°F
$49 ปริมาณ
2%
78-79°F
$90 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$79 ปริมาณ
<1%
82°F or higher
$112 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS model guidance and ensemble runs place Seattle’s August 2 high temperature most likely in the 70–73 °F range, reflecting the influence of a developing El Niño pattern that has favored warmer-than-normal early-August conditions across the Pacific Northwest. Onshore marine flow and variable low-level stratus are the key variables separating the closely matched 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, as modest differences in wind direction or timing of afternoon clearing can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °F. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 76 °F, yet persistent marine air this season has kept readings several degrees cooler, sustaining trader focus on the next 12–18 hours of observational data and updated short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,394วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS model guidance and ensemble runs place Seattle’s August 2 high temperature most likely in the 70–73 °F range, reflecting the influence of a developing El Niño pattern that has favored warmer-than-normal early-August conditions across the Pacific Northwest. Onshore marine flow and variable low-level stratus are the key variables separating the closely matched 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, as modest differences in wind direction or timing of afternoon clearing can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °F. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 76 °F, yet persistent marine air this season has kept readings several degrees cooler, sustaining trader focus on the next 12–18 hours of observational data and updated short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,394วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NWS model guidance and ensemble runs place Seattle’s August 2 high temperature most likely in the 70–73 °F range, reflecting the influence of a developing El Niño pattern that has favored warmer-than-normal early-August conditions across the Pacific Northwest. Onshore marine flow and variable low-level stratus are the key variables separating the closely matched 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, as modest differences in wind direction or timing of afternoon clearing can shift the daily maximum by 1–3 °F. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging near 76 °F, yet persistent marine air this season has kept readings several degrees cooler, sustaining trader focus on the next 12–18 hours of observational data and updated short-range forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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