Recent forecasts for Shanghai point to the ongoing Meiyu plum rain season as the dominant driver keeping daytime maxima clustered near 28–29°C, with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reducing surface insolation and convective heating. Official guidance highlights overcast skies and modest southeasterly flow that limits afternoon warming, while model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability tied to the precise timing and intensity of showers. Historical June climatology places average highs around 27–28°C under similar synoptic patterns, underscoring how small shifts in cloud thickness or rainfall timing can swing the daily peak by 1–2°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 27–29°C outcomes, reflecting tight uncertainty ahead of the next model updates and observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
28°C 39%
29°C 31%
27°C 26%
30°C 4.4%
ใหม่
$36,629 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$36,629 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
26%
28°C
39%
29°C
31%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 39%
29°C 31%
27°C 26%
30°C 4.4%
ใหม่
$36,629 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$36,629 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
24°C or below
$3,380 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,525 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$5,716 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$7,677 ปริมาณ
26%
28°C
$4,137 ปริมาณ
39%
29°C
$2,693 ปริมาณ
31%
30°C
$2,904 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$2,052 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$1,852 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$1,627 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$3,115 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai point to the ongoing Meiyu plum rain season as the dominant driver keeping daytime maxima clustered near 28–29°C, with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reducing surface insolation and convective heating. Official guidance highlights overcast skies and modest southeasterly flow that limits afternoon warming, while model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability tied to the precise timing and intensity of showers. Historical June climatology places average highs around 27–28°C under similar synoptic patterns, underscoring how small shifts in cloud thickness or rainfall timing can swing the daily peak by 1–2°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 27–29°C outcomes, reflecting tight uncertainty ahead of the next model updates and observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,629วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai point to the ongoing Meiyu plum rain season as the dominant driver keeping daytime maxima clustered near 28–29°C, with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reducing surface insolation and convective heating. Official guidance highlights overcast skies and modest southeasterly flow that limits afternoon warming, while model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability tied to the precise timing and intensity of showers. Historical June climatology places average highs around 27–28°C under similar synoptic patterns, underscoring how small shifts in cloud thickness or rainfall timing can swing the daily peak by 1–2°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 27–29°C outcomes, reflecting tight uncertainty ahead of the next model updates and observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,629วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai point to the ongoing Meiyu plum rain season as the dominant driver keeping daytime maxima clustered near 28–29°C, with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reducing surface insolation and convective heating. Official guidance highlights overcast skies and modest southeasterly flow that limits afternoon warming, while model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability tied to the precise timing and intensity of showers. Historical June climatology places average highs around 27–28°C under similar synoptic patterns, underscoring how small shifts in cloud thickness or rainfall timing can swing the daily peak by 1–2°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 27–29°C outcomes, reflecting tight uncertainty ahead of the next model updates and observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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