Latest numerical weather model guidance and observational data point to a daily maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on June 11 most likely between 28–30°C under typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions, driving the tight market split between the 29°C and 30°C outcomes. A modest upper-level ridge supports gradual warming, while persistent northwesterly flow and a strengthening sea breeze introduce cooling that often caps peaks near or just below 30°C. Ensemble spreads and local urban effects create the narrow uncertainty reflected in current trader consensus, with resolution hinging on official Israel Meteorological Service readings at the designated station. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today could refine the exact peak before the market settles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 11?
30°C 42%
29°C 38%
31°C 10%
28°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
9%
29°C
38%
30°C
42%
31°C
10%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 42%
29°C 38%
31°C 10%
28°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
9%
29°C
38%
30°C
42%
31°C
10%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather model guidance and observational data point to a daily maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on June 11 most likely between 28–30°C under typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions, driving the tight market split between the 29°C and 30°C outcomes. A modest upper-level ridge supports gradual warming, while persistent northwesterly flow and a strengthening sea breeze introduce cooling that often caps peaks near or just below 30°C. Ensemble spreads and local urban effects create the narrow uncertainty reflected in current trader consensus, with resolution hinging on official Israel Meteorological Service readings at the designated station. Updated short-range forecasts expected later today could refine the exact peak before the market settles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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