Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory, converge on a daytime high of 22–23°C for October 4 amid lingering effects from a strong cold air intrusion. Persistent northerly winds of 3–6 on the Beaufort scale, combined with increasing cloud cover and low precipitation chances, are limiting daytime heating after several days of rain and overcast skies. Historical October averages near 24°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a surface high-pressure buildup and northerly flow—supports cooler conditions. Minor model spread around peak afternoon temperatures and potential for localized variations keep 21°C and 24°C as plausible outliers in trader assessments. Updated guidance from the National Meteorological Center or revised model runs could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.