Elevated 2026 tornado activity through mid-August, already exceeding 1,100 confirmed reports per NOAA and Storm Prediction Center data, positions the 1,250+ outcome as the clear market leader at 85.5%. An unusually active spring featured multiple Midwest outbreaks, with Illinois alone surpassing 190 tornadoes amid record counts in Indiana and Wisconsin, driven by persistent warm, moist Gulf air interacting with strong vertical wind shear and jet stream patterns favoring supercell development. These conditions contrast with typical baselines around 1,000 annual U.S. tornadoes and have shifted trader consensus toward a final tally above 1,250, though late-summer and fall activity plus confirmation lags introduce modest uncertainty in the lower bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+ 86%
1200–1249 7.7%
1150–1199 6.7%
1100–1149 4.0%
$81,752 ปริมาณ
$81,752 ปริมาณ
Jan 10, 2027
<950
2%
950–999
<1%
1000–1049
<1%
1050–1099
<1%
1100–1149
4%
1150–1199
7%
1200–1249
8%
1250+
86%
1250+ 86%
1200–1249 7.7%
1150–1199 6.7%
1100–1149 4.0%
$81,752 ปริมาณ
$81,752 ปริมาณ
Jan 10, 2027
<950
$23,720 ปริมาณ
2%
950–999
$3,618 ปริมาณ
<1%
1000–1049
$3,451 ปริมาณ
<1%
1050–1099
$9,172 ปริมาณ
<1%
1100–1149
$3,248 ปริมาณ
4%
1150–1199
$4,082 ปริมาณ
7%
1200–1249
$15,917 ปริมาณ
8%
1250+
$18,543 ปริมาณ
86%
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases. The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Elevated 2026 tornado activity through mid-August, already exceeding 1,100 confirmed reports per NOAA and Storm Prediction Center data, positions the 1,250+ outcome as the clear market leader at 85.5%. An unusually active spring featured multiple Midwest outbreaks, with Illinois alone surpassing 190 tornadoes amid record counts in Indiana and Wisconsin, driven by persistent warm, moist Gulf air interacting with strong vertical wind shear and jet stream patterns favoring supercell development. These conditions contrast with typical baselines around 1,000 annual U.S. tornadoes and have shifted trader consensus toward a final tally above 1,250, though late-summer and fall activity plus confirmation lags introduce modest uncertainty in the lower bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases. The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases. The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 24, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,752วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 10, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 24, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases. The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Elevated 2026 tornado activity through mid-August, already exceeding 1,100 confirmed reports per NOAA and Storm Prediction Center data, positions the 1,250+ outcome as the clear market leader at 85.5%. An unusually active spring featured multiple Midwest outbreaks, with Illinois alone surpassing 190 tornadoes amid record counts in Indiana and Wisconsin, driven by persistent warm, moist Gulf air interacting with strong vertical wind shear and jet stream patterns favoring supercell development. These conditions contrast with typical baselines around 1,000 annual U.S. tornadoes and have shifted trader consensus toward a final tally above 1,250, though late-summer and fall activity plus confirmation lags introduce modest uncertainty in the lower bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases. The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases. The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,752วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 10, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 24, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated 2026 tornado activity through mid-August, already exceeding 1,100 confirmed reports per NOAA and Storm Prediction Center data, positions the 1,250+ outcome as the clear market leader at 85.5%. An unusually active spring featured multiple Midwest outbreaks, with Illinois alone surpassing 190 tornadoes amid record counts in Indiana and Wisconsin, driven by persistent warm, moist Gulf air interacting with strong vertical wind shear and jet stream patterns favoring supercell development. These conditions contrast with typical baselines around 1,000 annual U.S. tornadoes and have shifted trader consensus toward a final tally above 1,250, though late-summer and fall activity plus confirmation lags introduce modest uncertainty in the lower bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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