Donna Miller's victory in the crowded March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, where she secured 40% backed by significant outside spending including $4.4 million from an AIPAC-affiliated group, has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 94.5%. The district's deep-blue partisan lean—evident in Rep. Robin Kelly's dominant 2024 reelection—and historical GOP underperformance in this Chicago South Side and suburban seat underpin the lopsided odds against Republican nominee Michael Noack. With no major developments in the past 30 days and fundraising favoring Miller, upset scenarios remain limited to late scandals, health issues, or anomalous low Democratic turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$30,650 ปริมาณ
$30,650 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$30,650 ปริมาณ
$30,650 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,145 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$18,505 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller's victory in the crowded March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, where she secured 40% backed by significant outside spending including $4.4 million from an AIPAC-affiliated group, has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 94.5%. The district's deep-blue partisan lean—evident in Rep. Robin Kelly's dominant 2024 reelection—and historical GOP underperformance in this Chicago South Side and suburban seat underpin the lopsided odds against Republican nominee Michael Noack. With no major developments in the past 30 days and fundraising favoring Miller, upset scenarios remain limited to late scandals, health issues, or anomalous low Democratic turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,650วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller's victory in the crowded March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, where she secured 40% backed by significant outside spending including $4.4 million from an AIPAC-affiliated group, has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 94.5%. The district's deep-blue partisan lean—evident in Rep. Robin Kelly's dominant 2024 reelection—and historical GOP underperformance in this Chicago South Side and suburban seat underpin the lopsided odds against Republican nominee Michael Noack. With no major developments in the past 30 days and fundraising favoring Miller, upset scenarios remain limited to late scandals, health issues, or anomalous low Democratic turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,650วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donna Miller's victory in the crowded March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, where she secured 40% backed by significant outside spending including $4.4 million from an AIPAC-affiliated group, has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 94.5%. The district's deep-blue partisan lean—evident in Rep. Robin Kelly's dominant 2024 reelection—and historical GOP underperformance in this Chicago South Side and suburban seat underpin the lopsided odds against Republican nominee Michael Noack. With no major developments in the past 30 days and fundraising favoring Miller, upset scenarios remain limited to late scandals, health issues, or anomalous low Democratic turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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