The re-formation of the Joint List by Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad in August 2026, without Ra'am running separately, has stabilized projections for the alliance ahead of the October 27 election. Recent September polls from multiple firms consistently place the list at 6-8 seats, reflecting consolidated Arab voter support but limited overall gains amid competition from other lists and the 3.25% threshold. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 6-7 seats as the most probable outcome, while higher ranges remain possible if turnout or bloc dynamics shift in the final weeks. The broader contest, centered on Netanyahu's coalition performance and opposition efforts to reach 61 seats, indirectly influences Arab party totals through turnout and strategic voting patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว8-9 25%
10-11 22%
<6 16%
12+ 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<6
16%
6-7
42%
8-9
25%
10-11
22%
12+
12%
8-9 25%
10-11 22%
<6 16%
12+ 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$19 ปริมาณ
16%
6-7
$10 ปริมาณ
42%
8-9
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
10-11
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
12+
$71 ปริมาณ
12%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The re-formation of the Joint List by Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad in August 2026, without Ra'am running separately, has stabilized projections for the alliance ahead of the October 27 election. Recent September polls from multiple firms consistently place the list at 6-8 seats, reflecting consolidated Arab voter support but limited overall gains amid competition from other lists and the 3.25% threshold. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 6-7 seats as the most probable outcome, while higher ranges remain possible if turnout or bloc dynamics shift in the final weeks. The broader contest, centered on Netanyahu's coalition performance and opposition efforts to reach 61 seats, indirectly influences Arab party totals through turnout and strategic voting patterns.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$100วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).The re-formation of the Joint List by Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad in August 2026, without Ra'am running separately, has stabilized projections for the alliance ahead of the October 27 election. Recent September polls from multiple firms consistently place the list at 6-8 seats, reflecting consolidated Arab voter support but limited overall gains amid competition from other lists and the 3.25% threshold. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 6-7 seats as the most probable outcome, while higher ranges remain possible if turnout or bloc dynamics shift in the final weeks. The broader contest, centered on Netanyahu's coalition performance and opposition efforts to reach 61 seats, indirectly influences Arab party totals through turnout and strategic voting patterns.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$100วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The re-formation of the Joint List by Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad in August 2026, without Ra'am running separately, has stabilized projections for the alliance ahead of the October 27 election. Recent September polls from multiple firms consistently place the list at 6-8 seats, reflecting consolidated Arab voter support but limited overall gains amid competition from other lists and the 3.25% threshold. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 6-7 seats as the most probable outcome, while higher ranges remain possible if turnout or bloc dynamics shift in the final weeks. The broader contest, centered on Netanyahu's coalition performance and opposition efforts to reach 61 seats, indirectly influences Arab party totals through turnout and strategic voting patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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