Recent polling averages and final vote counts project the Joint List, the alliance of Arab-led parties including Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, at 11 Knesset seats after the October 27 election. High Arab voter turnout near 80 percent, combined with the list's unified campaign and the Supreme Court's decision to permit its participation, drove this outcome and lifted combined Arab representation to a record 19 seats. Trader consensus reflects these verified results, with the 10-11 range capturing the stable projections across multiple pollsters and the ongoing count. Late-stage shifts from double-envelope or overseas ballots remain possible but narrow, while post-certification legal reviews or coalition negotiations could indirectly affect resolution timing without altering the seat total itself.
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