Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September after the split with Hili Tropper, hovering near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Surveys from mid-September, including Channel 12 and Maariv, indicate seat projections ranging from zero to four, reflecting volatility tied to competition from larger centrist lists such as Yashar and Amcha Yisrael. The party's emphasis on reservist priorities and universal conscription has not yet translated into sustained support amid vote fragmentation across multiple right-leaning and opposition factions. Trader consensus on sub-3.25% outcomes aligns with this pattern of marginal polling and the structural barriers new alliances face in consolidating backing before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว3.75-4.25% 38%
<2.75% 36%
3.25-3.75% 23%
2.75-3.25% 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<2.75%
37%
2.75-3.25%
22%
3.25-3.75%
23%
3.75-4.25%
38%
4.25%+
15%
3.75-4.25% 38%
<2.75% 36%
3.25-3.75% 23%
2.75-3.25% 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<2.75%
$100 ปริมาณ
37%
2.75-3.25%
$40 ปริมาณ
22%
3.25-3.75%
$44 ปริมาณ
23%
3.75-4.25%
$37 ปริมาณ
38%
4.25%+
$48 ปริมาณ
15%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September after the split with Hili Tropper, hovering near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Surveys from mid-September, including Channel 12 and Maariv, indicate seat projections ranging from zero to four, reflecting volatility tied to competition from larger centrist lists such as Yashar and Amcha Yisrael. The party's emphasis on reservist priorities and universal conscription has not yet translated into sustained support amid vote fragmentation across multiple right-leaning and opposition factions. Trader consensus on sub-3.25% outcomes aligns with this pattern of marginal polling and the structural barriers new alliances face in consolidating backing before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$270วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September after the split with Hili Tropper, hovering near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Surveys from mid-September, including Channel 12 and Maariv, indicate seat projections ranging from zero to four, reflecting volatility tied to competition from larger centrist lists such as Yashar and Amcha Yisrael. The party's emphasis on reservist priorities and universal conscription has not yet translated into sustained support amid vote fragmentation across multiple right-leaning and opposition factions. Trader consensus on sub-3.25% outcomes aligns with this pattern of marginal polling and the structural barriers new alliances face in consolidating backing before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$270วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September after the split with Hili Tropper, hovering near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Surveys from mid-September, including Channel 12 and Maariv, indicate seat projections ranging from zero to four, reflecting volatility tied to competition from larger centrist lists such as Yashar and Amcha Yisrael. The party's emphasis on reservist priorities and universal conscription has not yet translated into sustained support amid vote fragmentation across multiple right-leaning and opposition factions. Trader consensus on sub-3.25% outcomes aligns with this pattern of marginal polling and the structural barriers new alliances face in consolidating backing before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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