**Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7 seats, with individual surveys ranging from 7 to 9.** This stability underpins the strong trader consensus on 7-8 seats. UTJ, representing Ashkenazi Haredi voters, has maintained a narrow but reliable support base comparable to its 7 seats in the prior election, reflecting limited volatility amid broader bloc realignments. Internal party tensions over candidate lists and factional representation (including Agudat Israel and Degel HaTorah elements) surfaced during slate submissions but have not produced measurable shifts in projected support. Ongoing debates around military draft exemptions and related legislation remain central to Haredi positioning, yet current surveys show no significant voter migration to or from UTJ. The Netanyahu-aligned bloc hovers near 51-55 seats in aggregates, keeping Haredi parties arithmetically relevant without altering UTJ's standalone forecast. With roughly five weeks until the vote and no major catalysts emerging in the latest fieldwork, the 7-8 seat range continues to reflect the prevailing polling consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว7-8 69%
9-10 14%
<7 7.0%
11+ 5.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<7
7%
7-8
69%
9-10
14%
11+
5%
7-8 69%
9-10 14%
<7 7.0%
11+ 5.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<7
$1,293 ปริมาณ
7%
7-8
$3,633 ปริมาณ
69%
9-10
$366 ปริมาณ
14%
11+
$521 ปริมาณ
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7 seats, with individual surveys ranging from 7 to 9.** This stability underpins the strong trader consensus on 7-8 seats. UTJ, representing Ashkenazi Haredi voters, has maintained a narrow but reliable support base comparable to its 7 seats in the prior election, reflecting limited volatility amid broader bloc realignments.
Internal party tensions over candidate lists and factional representation (including Agudat Israel and Degel HaTorah elements) surfaced during slate submissions but have not produced measurable shifts in projected support. Ongoing debates around military draft exemptions and related legislation remain central to Haredi positioning, yet current surveys show no significant voter migration to or from UTJ. The Netanyahu-aligned bloc hovers near 51-55 seats in aggregates, keeping Haredi parties arithmetically relevant without altering UTJ's standalone forecast.
With roughly five weeks until the vote and no major catalysts emerging in the latest fieldwork, the 7-8 seat range continues to reflect the prevailing polling consensus.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,814วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7 seats, with individual surveys ranging from 7 to 9.** This stability underpins the strong trader consensus on 7-8 seats. UTJ, representing Ashkenazi Haredi voters, has maintained a narrow but reliable support base comparable to its 7 seats in the prior election, reflecting limited volatility amid broader bloc realignments.
Internal party tensions over candidate lists and factional representation (including Agudat Israel and Degel HaTorah elements) surfaced during slate submissions but have not produced measurable shifts in projected support. Ongoing debates around military draft exemptions and related legislation remain central to Haredi positioning, yet current surveys show no significant voter migration to or from UTJ. The Netanyahu-aligned bloc hovers near 51-55 seats in aggregates, keeping Haredi parties arithmetically relevant without altering UTJ's standalone forecast.
With roughly five weeks until the vote and no major catalysts emerging in the latest fieldwork, the 7-8 seat range continues to reflect the prevailing polling consensus.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,814วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7 seats, with individual surveys ranging from 7 to 9.** This stability underpins the strong trader consensus on 7-8 seats. UTJ, representing Ashkenazi Haredi voters, has maintained a narrow but reliable support base comparable to its 7 seats in the prior election, reflecting limited volatility amid broader bloc realignments. Internal party tensions over candidate lists and factional representation (including Agudat Israel and Degel HaTorah elements) surfaced during slate submissions but have not produced measurable shifts in projected support. Ongoing debates around military draft exemptions and related legislation remain central to Haredi positioning, yet current surveys show no significant voter migration to or from UTJ. The Netanyahu-aligned bloc hovers near 51-55 seats in aggregates, keeping Haredi parties arithmetically relevant without altering UTJ's standalone forecast. With roughly five weeks until the vote and no major catalysts emerging in the latest fieldwork, the 7-8 seat range continues to reflect the prevailing polling consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย